Do I ship it?

GamesStealthStealth + Space

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Space Stealth game?

Stealth + Space

Of 33 developers who shipped a Space Stealth game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 86 more are announced, ×4.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $970, ×1.5 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $270; 1 in 20 cleared $2.8M, ×4504 the market median. Revenue is up 350% on the market; 86 games are announced against 19 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.5 times the market baseline, revenue up 350% on the market, 86 announced, ×4.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Stealth + Space
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 33
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $24k → $2.7k → $1.3k → $299 → $269 → $4.2k → $17k (still earning) → $539 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Stealth + Space: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 33
Bottom 30% $269 (exactly $269)
Median $972 (exactly $972)
Top 25% $227k (exactly $226,611)
Top 5% $2.8M (exactly $2,828,269)
Developers, 2 yr 33
Released games 108
Announced 86
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $8.10

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 350% on the market, supply 35% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Stealth
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Space
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Stealth; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Exploration, Adventure
Price point
$8.10 typical · top 25% priced $29.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Atmospheric, First-Person, Story Rich
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $8.10.

The top 10 games average 90% positive over 24,019 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $270, median $970, 1 in 4 over $220k, 1 in 20 over $2.8M.

3 in 10 developers made under $270. 8 in 10 of the 18 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 86 games are announced against 19 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Stealth with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + JRPGFair7 devs · median $1.3k · 12 announced
  2. + World War IIPoor odds11 devs · median $43k · 14 announced
  3. + LGBTQ+Poor odds19 devs · median $30k · 30 announced
  4. + Turn-Based CombatPoor odds8 devs · median $27k · 31 announced
  5. + WargamePoor odds10 devs · median $21k · 39 announced
  6. + DinosaursPoor odds10 devs · median $17k · 23 announced
  7. + Gun CustomizationPoor odds20 devs · median $13k · 63 announced
  8. + Base BuildingPoor odds21 devs · median $13k · 57 announced
  9. + Cold WarPoor odds7 devs · median $10k · 31 announced
  10. + HistoricalPoor odds32 devs · median $9.6k · 76 announced
  11. + MilitaryPoor odds43 devs · median $8.5k · 122 announced
  12. + WarPoor odds30 devs · median $7.6k · 89 announced

All 159 pairs on the Stealth page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Alien: Isolation older $39.99 48,591 92% 1.5M $58M (exactly $58,294,623) Creative Assembly, Feral Interactive (M… (Creative Assembly, Feral Interactive (Mac), Feral Interactive (Linux))
Prey older $29.99 37,759 90% 1.1M $34M (exactly $33,971,772) Arkane Studios
Aliens: Dark Descent older $39.99 15,310 87% 459k $18M (exactly $18,367,407) Tindalos Interactive
ROUTINE $24.99 7,322 91% 220k $5.5M (exactly $5,489,303) Lunar Software
Void Bastards older $29.99 3,888 86% 117k $3.5M (exactly $3,498,034) Blue Manchu
Heat Signature older $14.99 6,849 94% 205k $3.1M (exactly $3,079,995) Suspicious Developments
Species: Unknown · EA $9.99 9,437 94% 283k $2.8M (exactly $2,828,269) WanadevStudio
Directive 8020 $49.99 1,337 63% 40k $2.0M (exactly $2,005,099) Supermassive Games
ERA ONE · EA $29.99 1,575 86% 47k $1.4M (exactly $1,417,028) Team Complex LTD
Skin Deep $19.99 1,672 94% 50k $1.0M (exactly $1,002,698) Blendo Games
SCP: Fragmented Minds · EA $9.99 1,246 91% 37k $373k (exactly $373,426) HST Studios
Aphelion $29.99 303 63% 9.1k $273k (exactly $272,609) DON'T NOD
Space Reign $19.99 444 72% 13k $266k (exactly $266,267) Propulsive Games
Endoparasitic 2 $11.99 630 86% 19k $227k (exactly $226,611) Miziziziz
Periapsis: Eclipse · EA $14.99 53 71% 1.6k $24k (exactly $23,834) Skytrellis Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.