Do I ship it?

GamesTurn-BasedTurn-Based + Solitaire

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Solitaire Turn-Based game?

Turn-Based + Solitaire

Only 6 developers shipped a Solitaire Turn-Based game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Sweep, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 6 more are announced, ×6.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

Only 1 developer shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $1.7k against a market of $630. 6 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 2.7 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 6 announced, ×6.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Turn-Based + Solitaire
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 6

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Turn-Based + Solitaire: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 6
Bottom 30% $269 (exactly $269)
Median $1.7k (exactly $1,676)
Top 25% $3.1k (exactly $3,116)
Top 5% $3.8k (exactly $3,775)
Developers, 2 yr 6
Released games 32
Announced 6
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 80% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 6%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Turn-Based
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Solitaire
effort 1 / 10 · high · fixed rules, cards and a table

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Turn-Based, Solitaire
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 82% positive over 6,414 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $270, median $1.7k, 1 in 4 over $3.1k, 1 in 20 over $3.7k.

3 in 10 developers made under $270. All of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 6 games are announced against 1 developer who shipped in the last year, ×6.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Turn-Based with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Asynchronous MultiplayerStrong odds13 devs · median $60k · 10 announced
  2. + DragonsStrong odds7 devs · median $53k · 7 announced
  3. + Hack and SlashStrong odds8 devs · median $14k · 1 announced
  4. + SandboxFair20 devs · median $224k · 19 announced
  5. + HorrorFair16 devs · median $32k · 18 announced
  6. + CraftingFair16 devs · median $17k · 24 announced
  7. + CollectathonFair7 devs · median $14k · 8 announced
  8. + Perma DeathFair49 devs · median $10k · 57 announced
  9. + ArcadeFair35 devs · median $2.2k · 32 announced
  10. + ChessFair12 devs · median $1.2k · 13 announced
  11. + Tower DefensePoor odds9 devs · median $294k · 7 announced
  12. + 4XPoor odds16 devs · median $193k · 26 announced

All 110 pairs on the Turn-Based page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Dice & Fold older $12.99 3,491 83% 105k $1.4M (exactly $1,360,443) Tinymice Entertainment
Shadowhand: RPG Card Game older $16.99 668 82% 20k $340k (exactly $340,480) Grey Alien Games
Faerie Solitaire Remastered older $14.99 393 83% 12k $177k (exactly $176,732) Subsoap
Mystic Vale older $12.99 384 89% 12k $150k (exactly $149,645) Nomad Games
Solitairica older $9.99 436 78% 13k $131k (exactly $130,669) Righteous Hammer Games
Picross Fairytale - nonogram: Red Riding Hood secret older $14.99 235 73% 7.1k $106k (exactly $105,680) Somer Games
Mahjong World Contest (麻将) older $14.99 193 88% 5.8k $87k (exactly $86,792) Creobit
FreeCell Quest older $9.99 278 81% 8.3k $83k (exactly $83,317) Legend Studio
Mahjong Magic Journey older $14.99 136 80% 4.1k $61k (exactly $61,159) Creobit
Egyptian Senet older $9.99 200 81% 6.0k $60k (exactly $59,940) Ezzat Studios
Sweep $6.99 18 77% 540 $3.8k (exactly $3,775) On.Production
Caemdale $7.99 13 76% 390 $3.1k (exactly $3,116) JRB
Just a Little Purr suit $3.99 14 85% 420 $1.7k (exactly $1,676) Wise Box Studios
Another Round $4.99 3 100% 90 $449 (exactly $449) Triple Eye Games
How Can a Joker Like Me Play Cards with a Beautiful Girl $2.99 3 66% 90 $269 (exactly $269) 可布和常常诶
Territors $3.99 1 100% 30 $120 (exactly $120) Stoforge Studios

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.