Do I ship it?

GamesStealthStealth + Shoot 'Em Up

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Shoot 'Em Up Stealth game?

Stealth + Shoot 'Em Up

Only 10 developers shipped a Shoot 'Em Up Stealth game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Split Second VR Tactical Shooter, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 35 more are announced, ×8.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $720 against a market of $630. 35 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 1.1 times the market baseline, revenue down 65% on the market, 35 announced, ×8.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Stealth + Shoot 'Em Up
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 10
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $59 → $5.1k → $719 → $1.4k
Outcomes for Stealth + Shoot 'Em Up: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 10
Bottom 30% $299 (exactly $299)
Median $719 (exactly $719)
Top 25% $1.4k (exactly $1,438)
Top 5% $15k (exactly $14,685)
Developers, 2 yr 10
Released games 57
Announced 35
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 65% on the market, supply 35% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Stealth
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Shoot 'Em Up
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Stealth, Shoot 'Em Up
Price point
$7.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 8 games average 58% positive over 82 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $720, 1 in 4 over $1.4k, 1 in 20 over $14k.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. All of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 35 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×8.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Stealth with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + JRPGFair7 devs · median $1.3k · 12 announced
  2. + World War IIPoor odds11 devs · median $43k · 14 announced
  3. + LGBTQ+Poor odds19 devs · median $30k · 30 announced
  4. + Turn-Based CombatPoor odds8 devs · median $27k · 31 announced
  5. + WargamePoor odds10 devs · median $21k · 39 announced
  6. + DinosaursPoor odds10 devs · median $17k · 23 announced
  7. + Gun CustomizationPoor odds20 devs · median $13k · 63 announced
  8. + Base BuildingPoor odds21 devs · median $13k · 57 announced
  9. + Cold WarPoor odds7 devs · median $10k · 31 announced
  10. + HistoricalPoor odds32 devs · median $9.6k · 76 announced
  11. + MilitaryPoor odds43 devs · median $8.5k · 122 announced
  12. + WarPoor odds30 devs · median $7.6k · 89 announced

All 159 pairs on the Stealth page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
PAYDAY 3 older $29.99 49,305 45% 1.5M $44M (exactly $44,359,708) Starbreeze Studios
Crysis 2 Remastered older $29.99 9,034 89% 271k $8.1M (exactly $8,127,890) Crytek, Saber Interactive
Crysis 3 Remastered older $29.99 7,731 88% 232k $7.0M (exactly $6,955,581) Crytek, Saber Interactive
Dinosis Survival older $5.99 291 55% 8.7k $52k (exactly $52,293) Corpix Games
Gray Zone older $19.99 52 61% 1.6k $31k (exactly $31,184) EastWorks
Black Trail VR older $24.99 33 42% 990 $25k (exactly $24,740) Red Horizon
Split Second VR Tactical Shooter · EA $9.99 49 38% 1.5k $15k (exactly $14,685) Robertson Gaming Studios
Definitely Sneaky But Not Sneaky older $4.99 72 94% 2.2k $11k (exactly $10,778) boxedworks
Agent in Depth older $2.99 108 93% 3.2k $9.7k (exactly $9,688) Naturepixel Studios, SkyBrave
Last Escape older $4.99 46 67% 1.4k $6.9k (exactly $6,886) Fasu Studio
Super Chaos $5.99 13 92% 390 $2.3k (exactly $2,336) Anodaxia
Subzero Stealth · EA $7.99 6 100% 180 $1.4k (exactly $1,438) Verona Interactive
Blind Survival $9.99 4 100% 120 $1.2k (exactly $1,199) Noah Molteberg Lundén
Insectoid Descent $7.99 3 100% 90 $719 (exactly $719) IntraMentalDev
Miss Bullet $7.99 2 100% 60 $479 (exactly $479) Peaksel
Star Witch $4.99 2 0% 60 $299 (exactly $299) Frozen Dungeon
SpyGuys $2.99 3 66% 90 $269 (exactly $269) Olly
ZOMBIECAM $14.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) ZOMBIECAM Crew
Suqare: Hired Gun $14.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) 2102 Game Studios

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.