Do I ship it?

GamesTurn-BasedTurn-Based + Score Attack

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Score Attack Turn-Based game?

Turn-Based + Score Attack

Of 20 developers who shipped a Score Attack Turn-Based game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 17 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $4.0k, ×6.3 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $630; 1 in 20 cleared $680k, ×1091 the market median. Revenue is down 80% on the market; 17 games are announced against 16 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 6.3 times the market baseline, revenue down 80% on the market, 17 announced, ×1.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Turn-Based + Score Attack
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 20
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $7.8k → $6.7k (still earning) → $899 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Turn-Based + Score Attack: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 20
Bottom 30% $628 (exactly $628)
Median $4.0k (exactly $3,957)
Top 25% $35k (exactly $35,463)
Top 5% $685k (exactly $684,893)
Developers, 2 yr 20
Released games 32
Announced 17
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 80% on the market, supply 300% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 3%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Turn-Based
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Score Attack
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Turn-Based, Score Attack; all of the top 25% also carry Roguelike, Roguelite, Strategy
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Pixel Graphics, 2D, Relaxing
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 91% positive over 3,257 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $630, median $4.0k, 1 in 4 over $35k, 1 in 20 over $680k.

3 in 10 developers made under $630. 17 games are announced against 16 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Turn-Based with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Asynchronous MultiplayerStrong odds13 devs · median $60k · 10 announced
  2. + DragonsStrong odds7 devs · median $53k · 7 announced
  3. + Hack and SlashStrong odds8 devs · median $14k · 1 announced
  4. + SandboxFair20 devs · median $224k · 19 announced
  5. + HorrorFair16 devs · median $32k · 18 announced
  6. + CraftingFair16 devs · median $17k · 24 announced
  7. + CollectathonFair7 devs · median $14k · 8 announced
  8. + Perma DeathFair49 devs · median $10k · 57 announced
  9. + ArcadeFair35 devs · median $2.2k · 32 announced
  10. + ChessFair12 devs · median $1.2k · 13 announced
  11. + Tower DefensePoor odds9 devs · median $294k · 7 announced
  12. + 4XPoor odds16 devs · median $193k · 26 announced

All 110 pairs on the Turn-Based page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Omelet You Cook $14.99 1,523 97% 46k $685k (exactly $684,893) Dan Schumacher, Hjalte Tagmose
Bingle Bingle $14.99 666 80% 20k $300k (exactly $299,500) Knitting Games
Feed the Scorchpot $14.99 371 87% 11k $167k (exactly $166,839) Moravian
Dungeon Deathball older $11.99 193 95% 5.8k $69k (exactly $69,422) Matt Glanville
Dandy Dungeon - Legend of Brave Yamada - older $18.99 87 85% 2.6k $50k (exactly $49,564) Onion Games
LOOTPLOT $6.99 221 94% 6.6k $46k (exactly $46,344) CodeTheory Ltd
ploink $12.99 91 96% 2.7k $35k (exactly $35,463) Pyrocreep
Deckline $3.99 294 86% 8.8k $35k (exactly $35,192) Room Games, KREIDPIX
Lorenzo il Magnifico older $14.99 58 70% 1.7k $26k (exactly $26,083) Studio Clangore
Sarcophag older $0.99 362 74% 11k $11k (exactly $10,751) Crew Lab
Dominova $9.99 26 96% 780 $7.8k (exactly $7,792) Glenn Verheij
Towers of Scale · EA $9.99 26 100% 780 $7.8k (exactly $7,792) Makiki
Wunder: The Double-Sided Deckbuilder · EA $7.99 28 100% 840 $6.7k (exactly $6,712) BumbleMumble
Dominocalypse $11.99 11 100% 330 $4.0k (exactly $3,957) Barely Cohesive Games, LLC

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.