Do I ship it?

GamesStealthStealth + Science

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Science Stealth game?

Stealth + Science

Only 10 developers shipped a Science Stealth game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Periapsis: Eclipse, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 27 more are announced, ×5.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.5k, ×2.4 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $600; 1 in 20 cleared $23k, ×38 the market median. Revenue is up 155% on the market; 27 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.4 times the market baseline, revenue up 155% on the market, 27 announced, ×5.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Stealth + Science
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 10

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Stealth + Science: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 10
Bottom 30% $599 (exactly $599)
Median $1.5k (exactly $1,497)
Top 25% $7.6k (exactly $7,552)
Top 5% $24k (exactly $23,834)
Developers, 2 yr 10
Released games 32
Announced 27
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $8.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 155% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 22%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Stealth
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Science
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Stealth
Price point
$8.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 9 games average 79% positive over 186 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $600, median $1.5k, 1 in 4 over $7.5k, 1 in 20 over $23k.

3 in 10 developers made under $600. All of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 27 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Stealth with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + JRPGFair7 devs · median $1.3k · 12 announced
  2. + World War IIPoor odds11 devs · median $43k · 14 announced
  3. + LGBTQ+Poor odds19 devs · median $30k · 30 announced
  4. + Turn-Based CombatPoor odds8 devs · median $27k · 31 announced
  5. + WargamePoor odds10 devs · median $21k · 39 announced
  6. + DinosaursPoor odds10 devs · median $17k · 23 announced
  7. + Gun CustomizationPoor odds20 devs · median $13k · 63 announced
  8. + Base BuildingPoor odds21 devs · median $13k · 57 announced
  9. + Cold WarPoor odds7 devs · median $10k · 31 announced
  10. + HistoricalPoor odds32 devs · median $9.6k · 76 announced
  11. + MilitaryPoor odds43 devs · median $8.5k · 122 announced
  12. + WarPoor odds30 devs · median $7.6k · 89 announced

All 159 pairs on the Stealth page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
The Outlast Trials older $39.99 90,997 92% 2.7M $109M (exactly $109,169,101) Red Barrels
The Signal From Tölva older $19.99 792 71% 24k $475k (exactly $474,962) Big Robot Ltd
SERIES MAKERS TYCOON older $4.99 514 71% 15k $77k (exactly $76,946) CREW Studio Krüger UG
Rabbit Riot older $39.99 49 87% 1.5k $59k (exactly $58,785) Reactor Studios
Stifled - Echolocation Horror Mystery older $19.99 78 70% 2.3k $47k (exactly $46,777) Gattai Games
Periapsis: Eclipse · EA $14.99 53 71% 1.6k $24k (exactly $23,834) Skytrellis Games
THREAT -SCREAM AND ESCAPE- $8.99 73 83% 2.2k $20k (exactly $19,688) C-Route, HiBiGA
Infectious older $3.99 77 67% 2.3k $9.2k (exactly $9,217) Ziggy Makes Games
COLLAPSE COMPANY · EA $8.99 28 89% 840 $7.6k (exactly $7,552) VOLT-TECKS GAME STUDIO
HUNTERS FOR YOUR BRAIN older $4.99 28 71% 840 $4.2k (exactly $4,192) REANIMATO.RUS
Star Mission: Remote Sectors $9.99 10 80% 300 $3.0k (exactly $2,997) Ralph Schaedler
Childmare $4.99 10 90% 300 $1.5k (exactly $1,497) Altab
Kozyrev Horrors $4.99 7 85% 210 $1.0k (exactly $1,048) Catsprout
Nocturnal Relics $9.99 2 0% 60 $599 (exactly $599) Mighty Magpie AB
Star Witch $4.99 2 0% 60 $299 (exactly $299) Frozen Dungeon
The Schism · EA $5.99 1 100% 30 $180 (exactly $180) Munky
Trace of the Villa $6.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Steadyturtle Co., Ltd.

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.