Do I ship it?

GamesStealthStealth + Runner

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Runner Stealth game?

Stealth + Runner

Of 23 developers who shipped a Runner Stealth game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 29 more are announced, ×2.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $300 in the last 2 years and $360 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 6 / 10 build. 10 developers shipped in the last year and 29 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.5 times the market baseline, revenue down 30% on the market, 29 announced, ×2.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Stealth + Runner
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 23
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.5k → $359 → $120 → $30 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Stealth + Runner: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 23
Bottom 30% $30 (exactly $30)
Median $299 (exactly $299)
Top 25% $1.3k (exactly $1,347)
Top 5% $4.4k (exactly $4,410)
Developers, 2 yr 23
Released games 64
Announced 29
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $3.00

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 30% on the market, supply 25% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Stealth
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Runner
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Stealth, Runner; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Action-Adventure, Adventure
Price point
$3.00 typical · top 25% priced $4.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with First-Person, Funny, Realistic
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $4.99 or above; the middle game at $3.00.

The top 10 games average 64% positive over 224 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $300, 1 in 4 over $1.3k, 1 in 20 over $4.4k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. All of the 14 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 29 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.9 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Stealth with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + JRPGFair7 devs · median $1.3k · 12 announced
  2. + World War IIPoor odds11 devs · median $43k · 14 announced
  3. + LGBTQ+Poor odds19 devs · median $30k · 30 announced
  4. + Turn-Based CombatPoor odds8 devs · median $27k · 31 announced
  5. + WargamePoor odds10 devs · median $21k · 39 announced
  6. + DinosaursPoor odds10 devs · median $17k · 23 announced
  7. + Gun CustomizationPoor odds20 devs · median $13k · 63 announced
  8. + Base BuildingPoor odds21 devs · median $13k · 57 announced
  9. + Cold WarPoor odds7 devs · median $10k · 31 announced
  10. + HistoricalPoor odds32 devs · median $9.6k · 76 announced
  11. + MilitaryPoor odds43 devs · median $8.5k · 122 announced
  12. + WarPoor odds30 devs · median $7.6k · 89 announced

All 159 pairs on the Stealth page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Espire 1: VR Operative older $19.99 381 54% 11k $228k (exactly $228,486) Digital Lode Immersive Media
Panoptic older $16.99 281 96% 8.4k $143k (exactly $143,226) Team Panoptes
[Chilla's Art] The Caregiver | 終焉介護 older $4.99 431 80% 13k $65k (exactly $64,521) Chilla's Art
Rabbit Riot older $39.99 49 87% 1.5k $59k (exactly $58,785) Reactor Studios
[Chilla's Art] Hanako | 花子さん older $7.99 229 75% 6.9k $55k (exactly $54,891) Chilla's Art
Catch a Duck older $4.99 83 80% 2.5k $12k (exactly $12,425) Sleepwalking Potatoes
Infectious older $3.99 77 67% 2.3k $9.2k (exactly $9,217) Ziggy Makes Games
CashGrab older $2.93 101 93% 3.0k $8.9k (exactly $8,878) Grabba Guild Games LLC
Save daddy trump 2: The Final Triumph older $4.99 53 86% 1.6k $7.9k (exactly $7,934) Tero Lunkka, Valkeala Software
Drunk Builder Simulator $2.99 78 39% 2.3k $7.0k (exactly $6,997) Viper
北城捷運糾察隊(Northern City Metro Patrol) $3.00 49 83% 1.5k $4.4k (exactly $4,410) HoneyJamStudio
the Shadow of Swallow $3.99 30 76% 900 $3.6k (exactly $3,591) Raine Studio
Meowmories $5.99 15 60% 450 $2.7k (exactly $2,696) Team Memolink
SeekOut · EA $3.89 16 93% 480 $1.9k (exactly $1,867) Nightroot Interactive
RealityIQ | الواقع $4.99 9 100% 270 $1.3k (exactly $1,347) kajol
Trump Tariff $1.99 21 71% 630 $1.3k (exactly $1,254) Valkeala Software, Tero Lunkka
Codename:Twilight $19.99 1 0% 30 $600 (exactly $600) ArarwayS
The Night of Escape $3.99 3 0% 90 $359 (exactly $359) LiTang
Only for Gamers $4.99 2 100% 60 $299 (exactly $299) Merhaba Yazılım

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.