Games › Turn-Based › Turn-Based + Romance
Should I ship a Romance Turn-Based game?
Turn-Based + Romance
Only 6 developers shipped a Romance Turn-Based game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Sora no Kiseki the 1st, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 7 more are announced, ×2.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.
Only 3 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $59k against a market of $630. 7 games are announced.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $21k (exactly $21,136) |
|---|---|
| Median | $59k (exactly $58,911) |
| Top 25% | $5.9M (exactly $5,880,324) |
| Top 5% | $9.4M (exactly $9,367,438) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 6 |
| Released games | 61 |
| Announced | 7 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $14.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 90% on the market, supply 25% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 5%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Turn-Based
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
- Romance
- effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- Turn-Based
- Price point
- $14.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $59.99 or above; the middle game at $19.99.
The top 10 games average 91% positive over 85,895 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $22k. 7 games are announced against 3 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.3 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Turn-Based with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Asynchronous MultiplayerStrong odds
- + DragonsStrong odds
- + Hack and SlashStrong odds
- + SandboxFair
- + HorrorFair
- + CraftingFair
- + CollectathonFair
- + Perma DeathFair
- + ArcadeFair
- + ChessFair
- + Tower DefensePoor odds
- + 4XPoor odds
Comparable games
FINAL FANTASY X/X-2 HD Remaster 2016 · $18M 
Sora no Kiseki the 1st 2025 · $9.4M 
Pillars of Eternity II: Deadfire 2018 · $8.8M 
FINAL FANTASY IX 2016 · $7.8M 
Valkyria Chronicles™ 2014 · $6.5M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | FINAL FANTASY X/X-2 HD Remaster | older | $29.99 | 19,857 87% | 596k | $18M (exactly $17,865,343) | Square Enix |
| | Sora no Kiseki the 1st | $59.99 | 5,205 97% | 156k | $9.4M (exactly $9,367,438) | Nihon Falcom | |
| | Pillars of Eternity II: Deadfire | older | $19.99 | 14,659 87% | 440k | $8.8M (exactly $8,791,002) | Obsidian Entertainment |
| | FINAL FANTASY IX | older | $20.99 | 12,447 95% | 373k | $7.8M (exactly $7,837,876) | Square Enix |
| | Valkyria Chronicles™ | older | $19.99 | 10,832 89% | 325k | $6.5M (exactly $6,495,950) | SEGA |
 | The Legend of Heroes: Trails of Cold Steel | older | $39.99 | 5,131 94% | 154k | $6.2M (exactly $6,155,661) | Nihon Falcom |
 | Romancing SaGa 2: Revenge of the Seven | $49.99 | 3,921 93% | 118k | $5.9M (exactly $5,880,324) | Square Enix, xeen Inc. | |
 | The Legend of Heroes: Trails in the Sky | older | $19.99 | 8,801 94% | 264k | $5.3M (exactly $5,277,960) | Nihon Falcom |
 | The Legend of Heroes: Trails of Cold Steel III | older | $59.99 | 2,770 92% | 83k | $5.0M (exactly $4,985,169) | Nihon Falcom, Engine Software BV, PH3 G… (Nihon Falcom, Engine Software BV, PH3 GmbH) |
 | The Legend of Heroes: Trails of Cold Steel IV | older | $59.99 | 2,272 91% | 68k | $4.1M (exactly $4,088,918) | Nihon Falcom, Engine Software BV, PH3 G… (Nihon Falcom, Engine Software BV, PH3 GmbH) |
 | The Legend of Heroes: Kai no Kiseki -Farewell, O Zemuria- | $57.99 | 765 77% | 23k | $1.3M (exactly $1,330,870) | Nihon Falcom | |
 | Lord Ambermaze | $14.99 | 131 91% | 3.9k | $59k (exactly $58,911) | Potata Company | |
 | I'm Not Sex King | $10.99 | 147 76% | 4.4k | $48k (exactly $48,466) | Sex King | |
 | Toward Dawn | $14.99 | 47 100% | 1.4k | $21k (exactly $21,136) | Devi Serene | |
 | Ternion | · EA | $12.99 | 1 0% | 30 | $390 (exactly $390) | My Goody Unsafe Boar |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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