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Should I ship a Roguelite Stealth game?
Stealth + Roguelite
Of 40 developers who shipped a Roguelite Stealth game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 98 more are announced, ×4.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $900, ×1.4 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $390; 1 in 20 cleared $180k, ×290 the market median. Revenue is up 10% on the market; 98 games are announced against 24 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $390 (exactly $390) |
|---|---|
| Median | $899 (exactly $899) |
| Top 25% | $12k (exactly $12,425) |
| Top 5% | $182k (exactly $182,218) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 40 |
| Released games | 122 |
| Announced | 98 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $5.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 10% on the market, supply 50% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 6%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Stealth, Roguelite; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Roguelike, Simulation
- Price point
- $5.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
- Art
- 4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Pixel Graphics, 3D
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.
The top 10 games average 88% positive over 2,831 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $390. 9 in 10 of the 18 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 98 games are announced against 24 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.1 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Stealth with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + JRPGFair
- + World War IIPoor odds
- + LGBTQ+Poor odds
- + Turn-Based CombatPoor odds
- + WargamePoor odds
- + DinosaursPoor odds
- + Gun CustomizationPoor odds
- + Base BuildingPoor odds
- + Cold WarPoor odds
- + HistoricalPoor odds
- + MilitaryPoor odds
- + WarPoor odds
Comparable games
DEATHLOOP 2021 · $36M 
Streets of Rogue 2019 · $10M 
Void Bastards 2019 · $3.5M 
Baldi's Basics Plus 2020 · EA · $3.3M 
PANICORE 2024 · $3.2M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | DEATHLOOP | older | $59.99 | 19,910 76% | 597k | $36M (exactly $35,832,027) | Arkane Studios |
| | Streets of Rogue | older | $19.99 | 17,215 96% | 516k | $10M (exactly $10,323,836) | Matt Dabrowski |
| | Void Bastards | older | $29.99 | 3,888 86% | 117k | $3.5M (exactly $3,498,034) | Blue Manchu |
| | Baldi's Basics Plus | · EA older | $9.99 | 10,895 97% | 327k | $3.3M (exactly $3,265,232) | Basically Games |
| | PANICORE | older | $9.99 | 10,748 78% | 322k | $3.2M (exactly $3,221,176) | ZTEK Studio |
 | Heat Signature | older | $14.99 | 6,849 94% | 205k | $3.1M (exactly $3,079,995) | Suspicious Developments |
 | Invisible, Inc. | older | $19.99 | 5,096 91% | 153k | $3.1M (exactly $3,056,071) | Klei Entertainment |
 | Demeo | older | $39.99 | 1,703 87% | 51k | $2.0M (exactly $2,043,089) | Resolution Games |
 | Receiver 2 | older | $19.99 | 2,852 90% | 86k | $1.7M (exactly $1,710,344) | Wolfire Games |
 | Monstrum | older | $17.99 | 3,155 91% | 95k | $1.7M (exactly $1,702,753) | Team Junkfish |
 | Take me, Vitaly | $5.99 | 1,136 98% | 34k | $204k (exactly $204,139) | Старый Билд | |
 | It Has My Face | $9.99 | 608 88% | 18k | $182k (exactly $182,218) | NightByte Games | |
 | Rina's Undercover Train Operation | $13.99 | 286 70% | 8.6k | $120k (exactly $120,034) | Metamorphose | |
 | Night Shippers | $7.99 | 289 74% | 8.7k | $69k (exactly $69,273) | Young Buffalo | |
 | INTO EVIL | · EA | $14.99 | 106 92% | 3.2k | $48k (exactly $47,668) | Mind's Eye Games |
 | Medic: Pacific War | · EA | $9.99 | 143 70% | 4.3k | $43k (exactly $42,857) | Hypnotic Ants |
 | Lia: Hacking Destiny | $14.99 | 92 96% | 2.8k | $41k (exactly $41,372) | Orube Game Studio | |
 | Periapsis: Eclipse | · EA | $14.99 | 53 71% | 1.6k | $24k (exactly $23,834) | Skytrellis Games |
 | Regulators | $14.99 | 35 100% | 1.1k | $16k (exactly $15,740) | Orangepixel | |
 | Time for Bed | $4.99 | 83 96% | 2.5k | $12k (exactly $12,425) | NERDY PENGUIN |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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