Games › Sandbox › Sandbox + Rhythm
Should I ship a Rhythm Sandbox?
Sandbox + Rhythm
Only 13 developers shipped a Rhythm Sandbox in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, OFFBEAT, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 32 more are announced, ×4.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $270 in the last 2 years and $300 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 6 / 10 build. 7 developers shipped in the last year and 32 games are announced.
| Bottom 30% | $30 (exactly $30) |
|---|---|
| Median | $267 (exactly $267) |
| Top 25% | $537 (exactly $537) |
| Top 5% | $166k (exactly $165,822) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 13 |
| Released games | 47 |
| Announced | 32 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 40% on the market, supply 15% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 19%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Sandbox, Rhythm; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Arcade, Simulation, Level Editor
- Price point
- $4.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Abstract, Colorful
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.
The top 10 games average 90% positive over 623 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $50. 8 in 10 of the 12 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 32 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.6 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Sandbox with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + FightingStrong odds
- + Turn-BasedFair
- + World War IIFair
- + MinigamesFair
- + ProgrammingFair
- + CatsFair
- + SportsFair
- + GamblingFair
- + Auto BattlerFair
- + Combat RacingFair
- + Trading Card GameFair
- + IdlerFair
Comparable games
Incredibox 2021 · $843k 
Paradiddle 2022 · $495k 
OFFBEAT 2026 · EA · $166k 
ODDADA 2024 · $100k 
DvDrum, Ultimate Drum Simulator! 2017 · $73k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Incredibox | older | $4.99 | 5,633 96% | 169k | $843k (exactly $843,260) | So Far So Good |
| | Paradiddle | older | $24.99 | 660 91% | 20k | $495k (exactly $494,802) | Emre Tanirgan |
| | OFFBEAT | · EA | $11.99 | 461 97% | 14k | $166k (exactly $165,822) | Whetstone Games |
| | ODDADA | older | $9.99 | 335 96% | 10k | $100k (exactly $100,400) | Sven Ahlgrimm, Mathilde Hoffmann, Basti… (Sven Ahlgrimm, Mathilde Hoffmann, Bastian Clausdorff) |
| | DvDrum, Ultimate Drum Simulator! | older | $24.99 | 97 89% | 2.9k | $73k (exactly $72,721) | DarkTiger Developments |
 | DrumBeats VR | $14.99 | 128 65% | 3.8k | $58k (exactly $57,562) | Marcel Eissens, VRROOM Ultimate VR Expe… (Marcel Eissens, VRROOM Ultimate VR Experiences BV) | |
 | Fruit Ninja VR 2 | older | $24.99 | 74 75% | 2.2k | $55k (exactly $55,478) | Halfbrick Studios Pty Ltd |
 | Mix Universe | · EA older | $14.99 | 113 95% | 3.4k | $51k (exactly $50,816) | Chris Zukowski |
 | DJ SIMULATOR | · EA older | $12.99 | 40 87% | 1.2k | $16k (exactly $15,588) | REMBOT GAMES |
 | LyraVR | · EA older | $14.99 | 25 84% | 750 | $11k (exactly $11,242) | LyraVR |
 | Satisfying Simulator | $6.99 | 3 100% | 90 | $629 (exactly $629) | Satisfying Simulator | |
 | Match 'Em | $1.99 | 9 100% | 270 | $537 (exactly $537) | Mina Pêcheux | |
 | Draw & Play ! | $4.99 | 3 100% | 90 | $449 (exactly $449) | Rifaï Games Studio | |
 | T-Drum | $4.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $299 (exactly $299) | LV Studio | |
 | Drumming | $0.99 | 9 77% | 270 | $267 (exactly $267) | Trash Games Studios | |
 | Trap Golf | $0.99 | 6 100% | 180 | $178 (exactly $178) | ZERO5GAMES | |
 | Rhythm Town: Music Visualizer | $1.99 | 1 0% | 30 | $60 (exactly $60) | RhythmTownGroup | |
 | 俄罗斯方块3D版 | $0.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $30 (exactly $30) | WenxuanMiao |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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