Do I ship it?

GamesReal Time TacticsReal Time Tactics + Real-Time

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Real-Time Real Time Tactics?

Real Time Tactics + Real-Time

Only 16 developers shipped a Real-Time Real Time Tactics in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Sea Power : Naval Combat in the Missile Age, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 26 more are announced, ×3.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $16k, ×25 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $4.1k; 1 in 20 cleared $9.1M, ×14589 the market median. Revenue is down 40% on the market; 26 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 24.8 times the market baseline, revenue down 40% on the market, 26 announced, ×3.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Real Time Tactics + Real-Time
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 16
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $116k → $16k → $22k → $16k → $13k → $2.0k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Real Time Tactics + Real-Time: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 16
Bottom 30% $4.0k (exactly $4,047)
Median $16k (exactly $15,584)
Top 25% $31k (exactly $31,184)
Top 5% $9.2M (exactly $9,161,667)
Developers, 2 yr 16
Released games 114
Announced 26
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $14.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 40% on the market, supply 20% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Real-Time
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Real Time Tactics
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Real-Time, Real Time Tactics; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry RTS, Strategy, Wargame
Price point
$14.99 typical · top 25% priced $49.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2.5D, Realistic
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $49.99 or above; the middle game at $14.99.

The top 10 games average 89% positive over 7,253 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $4.1k, median $16k, 1 in 4 over $31k, 1 in 20 over $9.1M.

3 in 10 developers made under $4.1k. 8 in 10 of the 12 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 26 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.7 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Real Time Tactics with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Character Customization + Real-TimeStrong odds7 devs · median $2.0k · 6 announced
  2. + Real-Time + RogueliteFair11 devs · median $11k · 14 announced
  3. + Building + Real-TimePoor odds14 devs · median $62k · 20 announced
  4. + Historical + Real-TimePoor odds10 devs · median $52k · 15 announced
  5. + Real-Time + WarPoor odds14 devs · median $37k · 20 announced
  6. + Base Building + Real-TimePoor odds21 devs · median $37k · 33 announced
  7. + Real-Time + WargamePoor odds13 devs · median $37k · 17 announced
  8. + Physics + Real-TimePoor odds7 devs · median $33k · 13 announced
  9. + Real-Time + Tower DefensePoor odds9 devs · median $32k · 17 announced
  10. + Action RTS + Real-TimePoor odds12 devs · median $31k · 18 announced
  11. + Real-Time + StrategyPoor odds39 devs · median $28k · 75 announced
  12. + RTS + Real-TimePoor odds21 devs · median $22k · 40 announced

All 40 pairs on the Real Time Tactics page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Wargame: Red Dragon older $29.99 15,758 88% 473k $14M (exactly $14,177,473) Eugen Systems
Warhammer 40,000: Dawn of War II - Anniversary Edition (Classic) older $49.99 8,084 85% 243k $12M (exactly $12,123,575) Relic Entertainment, Feral Interactive… (Relic Entertainment, Feral Interactive (Mac/Linux))
Sea Power : Naval Combat in the Missile Age · EA $49.99 6,109 90% 183k $9.2M (exactly $9,161,667) Triassic Games
Starship Troopers: Terran Command older $29.99 9,214 87% 276k $8.3M (exactly $8,289,836) The Artistocrats
Ancestors Legacy older $34.99 5,794 80% 174k $6.1M (exactly $6,081,962) Destructive Creations
Stronghold: Warlords older $39.99 4,449 65% 133k $5.3M (exactly $5,337,465) Firefly Studios
Stronghold Crusader HD (2012) older $9.99 17,564 97% 527k $5.3M (exactly $5,263,931) Firefly Studios
Sudden Strike 4 older $19.99 6,249 78% 187k $3.7M (exactly $3,747,525) Kite Games
Steel Division: Normandy 44 older $19.99 4,765 74% 143k $2.9M (exactly $2,857,570) Eugen Systems
Satellite Reign older $29.99 2,619 75% 79k $2.4M (exactly $2,356,314) 5 Lives Studios
Task Force Admiral - Vol.1: American Carrier Battles · EA $39.99 633 87% 19k $759k (exactly $759,410) Drydock Dreams Games
Warhammer: Mark of Chaos - Gold Edition (Classic) $14.99 188 96% 5.6k $85k (exactly $84,544) Black Hole Entertainment
Battlefall: State of Conflict · EA $19.99 52 63% 1.6k $31k (exactly $31,184) Kyoto Video Game Concern
Combat Directive : Napoleonic Wars $19.99 36 88% 1.1k $22k (exactly $21,589) Fatice Games
Stardust Exile $14.99 44 70% 1.3k $20k (exactly $19,787) Apseren
Boxing Simulator $7.99 79 79% 2.4k $19k (exactly $18,936) Inogames
Tactical Warfare $9.99 52 67% 1.6k $16k (exactly $15,584) Mizrab
Dungeons & Dragons: Dragonshard $9.99 45 80% 1.4k $13k (exactly $13,486) Liquid Entertainment
Remnants of the Rift $14.99 15 86% 450 $6.7k (exactly $6,746) Bromio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.