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Should I ship a Trading Real Time Tactics?
Real Time Tactics + Trading
Only 14 developers shipped a Trading Real Time Tactics in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Geo-Political Simulator 5, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 38 more are announced, ×4.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $600, level with the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $150; 1 in 20 cleared $700k, ×1121 the market median. Revenue is down 85% on the market; 38 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $150 (exactly $150) |
|---|---|
| Median | $599 (exactly $599) |
| Top 25% | $3.0k (exactly $2,998) |
| Top 5% | $704k (exactly $703,683) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 14 |
| Released games | 42 |
| Announced | 38 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 85% on the market, supply 35% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 7%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Real Time Tactics
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
- Trading
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Real Time Tactics, Trading; all of the top 25% also carry Economy, Management, Strategy
- Price point
- $9.99 typical · top 25% priced $59.99 or above
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $59.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 45% positive over 597 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $150. 6 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 38 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.8 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Real Time Tactics with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + DragonsStrong odds
- + Outbreak SimFair
- + HackingFair
- + World War IIPoor odds
- + Cold WarPoor odds
- + HistoricalPoor odds
- + Real-Time with PausePoor odds
- + Real-TimePoor odds
- + MechsPoor odds
- + Vehicular CombatPoor odds
- + God GamePoor odds
- + Open WorldPoor odds
Comparable games
Thriving City: Song 2024 · $1.7M 
Power & Revolution 2022 Edition 2022 · $1.2M 
Power & Revolution 2021 Edition 2021 · $943k 
SuperPower 3 2022 · $884k 
Power & Revolution 2023 Edition 2023 · $748k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Thriving City: Song | older | $18.99 | 3,054 81% | 92k | $1.7M (exactly $1,739,864) | White Star Studio |
| | Power & Revolution 2022 Edition | older | $49.99 | 815 60% | 24k | $1.2M (exactly $1,222,256) | Eversim |
| | Power & Revolution 2021 Edition | older | $49.99 | 629 56% | 19k | $943k (exactly $943,311) | Eversim |
| | SuperPower 3 | older | $29.99 | 982 10% | 29k | $884k (exactly $883,505) | GolemLabs |
| | Power & Revolution 2023 Edition | older | $49.99 | 499 60% | 15k | $748k (exactly $748,350) | Eversim |
 | Geo-Political Simulator 5 | $59.99 | 391 34% | 12k | $704k (exactly $703,683) | Eversim | |
 | Uncharted Ocean | older | $4.99 | 563 70% | 17k | $84k (exactly $84,281) | HiRabbitgame |
 | Dust Raiders | $15.99 | 160 64% | 4.8k | $77k (exactly $76,752) | Vixa Games | |
 | Rugby Union Team Manager 4 | older | $39.99 | 60 70% | 1.8k | $72k (exactly $71,982) | Alternative Software Ltd |
 | Tennis Manager 2021 | older | $9.99 | 191 75% | 5.7k | $57k (exactly $57,243) | Rebound |
 | Billionaire in the Oil Boom | $7.99 | 31 80% | 930 | $7.4k (exactly $7,431) | Pizza OK Games | |
 | New Stars | $19.99 | 5 60% | 150 | $3.0k (exactly $2,998) | adamjr | |
 | The Capitalist: Private Equity Simulator | · EA | $9.99 | 4 100% | 120 | $1.2k (exactly $1,199) | The Capitalist |
 | FUNEX: Stock Market Simulator | $29.99 | 1 0% | 30 | $900 (exactly $900) | VIREX MEDIA | |
 | Rise of the Settlement | · EA | $9.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $599 (exactly $599) | Luki |
 | We Don't Cry: Zombie Survival | $11.99 | 1 0% | 30 | $360 (exactly $360) | Bored Alchemist | |
 | Balkan Bloodbath | $9.99 | 1 0% | 30 | $300 (exactly $300) | Michael Richard Lannon | |
 | The Exchange Manager | $4.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $150 (exactly $150) | The Black Swan |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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