Do I ship it?

Games › Real Time Tactics › Real Time Tactics + Time Manipulation

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Time Manipulation Real Time Tactics?

Real Time Tactics + Time Manipulation

Only 12 developers shipped a Time Manipulation Real Time Tactics in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Oasis Mission: Colony Sim, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 17 more are announced, ×4.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $900 against a market of $630. 17 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 1.4 times the market baseline, revenue up 140% on the market, 17 announced, ×4.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Real Time Tactics + Time Manipulation
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 12
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $450 → $91k → $478 → $6.7k → $1.2k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Real Time Tactics + Time Manipulation: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 12
Bottom 30% $478 (exactly $478)
Median $899 (exactly $899)
Top 25% $6.7k (exactly $6,746)
Top 5% $41k (exactly $40,923)
Developers, 2 yr 12
Released games 39
Announced 17
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 140% on the market, supply 50% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Real Time Tactics
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Time Manipulation
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Real Time Tactics, Time Manipulation
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 65% positive over 199 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $480, median $900, 1 in 4 over $6.7k, 1 in 20 over $40k.

3 in 10 developers made under $480. All of the 11 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 17 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Real Time Tactics with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + DragonsStrong odds17 devs · median $6.6k · 19 announced
  2. + Outbreak SimFair12 devs · median $1.8k · 14 announced
  3. + HackingFair11 devs · median $987 · 11 announced
  4. + World War IIPoor odds24 devs · median $67k · 35 announced
  5. + Cold WarPoor odds9 devs · median $19k · 16 announced
  6. + HistoricalPoor odds88 devs · median $19k · 154 announced
  7. + Real-Time with PausePoor odds19 devs · median $16k · 31 announced
  8. + Real-TimePoor odds16 devs · median $16k · 26 announced
  9. + MechsPoor odds16 devs · median $13k · 32 announced
  10. + Vehicular CombatPoor odds20 devs · median $9.6k · 50 announced
  11. + God GamePoor odds19 devs · median $7.8k · 32 announced
  12. + Open WorldPoor odds29 devs · median $7.2k · 111 announced

All 176 pairs on the Real Time Tactics page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Phantom Brigade 2023 · $4.0M ICBM 2020 · $993k No Plan B 2024 · $342k Timemelters 2024 · $91k Cube Land Arena 2019 · $42k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Phantom Brigade older $29.99 4,412 81% 132k $4.0M (exactly $3,969,476) Brace Yourself Games
ICBM older $19.99 1,655 91% 50k $993k (exactly $992,503) SoftWarWare, K-Project
No Plan B older $14.99 761 86% 23k $342k (exactly $342,222) GFX47
Timemelters older $19.99 152 92% 4.6k $91k (exactly $91,154) Autoexec Games
Cube Land Arena older $4.99 279 66% 8.4k $42k (exactly $41,766) Jaison Robson Gusava, SC Jogos
Oasis Mission: Colony Sim $14.99 91 56% 2.7k $41k (exactly $40,923) Lunar pug studio
Natti · EA older $7.99 109 58% 3.3k $26k (exactly $26,127) 4DAYS LAB Co., Ltd.
Temporal Titans · EA $9.99 44 95% 1.3k $13k (exactly $13,187) Lost Tower Games
Timewell: Trail of Celestes older $17.99 20 85% 600 $11k (exactly $10,794) OZBER CIN
Remnants of the Rift $14.99 15 86% 450 $6.7k (exactly $6,746) Bromio
Accretion $9.99 21 38% 630 $6.3k (exactly $6,294) ValarFerys
RC: Car Maniacs $4.99 8 62% 240 $1.2k (exactly $1,198) GH Games
Gallery Theft · EA $9.99 3 33% 90 $899 (exactly $899) Hard Shark Games
Miryam: The Polluted Land $4.99 5 100% 150 $748 (exactly $748) 6.5F Studio
Ultimate Car Company Tycoon · EA $6.99 3 33% 90 $629 (exactly $629) Tengrava Games
Infinite Idle: Online Clicker RPG $1.99 8 37% 240 $478 (exactly $478) Comar Studios
THE BEST INVESTOR $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) THE FRENCH GRINDER

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.