Do I ship it?

GamesReal Time TacticsReal Time Tactics + Time Management

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Time Management Real Time Tactics?

Real Time Tactics + Time Management

Of 90 developers who shipped a Time Management Real Time Tactics in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 146 more are announced, ×3.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $600, level with the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $50; 1 in 20 cleared $67k, ×108 the market median. Revenue is down 40% on the market; 146 games are announced against 48 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.0 times the market baseline, revenue down 40% on the market, 146 announced, ×3.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Real Time Tactics + Time Management
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 90
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.3k → $449 → $1.1k → $779 → $898 → $899 → $300 (still earning) → $1.3k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Real Time Tactics + Time Management: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 90
Bottom 30% $30 (exactly $30)
Median $599 (exactly $599)
Top 25% $3.5k (exactly $3,506)
Top 5% $68k (exactly $67,905)
Developers, 2 yr 90
Released games 238
Announced 146
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 40% on the market, supply 10% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 16%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Real Time Tactics
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Time Management
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Real Time Tactics, Time Management; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Management, Resource Management
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 86% positive over 26,895 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $600, 1 in 4 over $3.5k, 1 in 20 over $67k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 9 in 10 of the 59 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 146 games are announced against 48 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Real Time Tactics with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + DragonsStrong odds17 devs · median $6.6k · 19 announced
  2. + Outbreak SimFair12 devs · median $1.8k · 14 announced
  3. + HackingFair11 devs · median $987 · 11 announced
  4. + World War IIPoor odds24 devs · median $67k · 35 announced
  5. + Cold WarPoor odds9 devs · median $19k · 16 announced
  6. + HistoricalPoor odds88 devs · median $19k · 154 announced
  7. + Real-Time with PausePoor odds19 devs · median $16k · 31 announced
  8. + Real-TimePoor odds16 devs · median $16k · 26 announced
  9. + MechsPoor odds16 devs · median $13k · 32 announced
  10. + Vehicular CombatPoor odds20 devs · median $9.6k · 50 announced
  11. + God GamePoor odds19 devs · median $7.8k · 32 announced
  12. + Open WorldPoor odds29 devs · median $7.2k · 111 announced

All 176 pairs on the Real Time Tactics page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Turmoil older $12.99 13,154 92% 395k $5.1M (exactly $5,126,114) Gamious
LOCKDOWN Protocol $9.99 16,605 86% 498k $5.0M (exactly $4,976,518) Mirage Creative Lab
112 Operator older $24.99 5,688 88% 171k $4.3M (exactly $4,264,294) Jutsu Games
The King is Watching $14.99 9,006 88% 270k $4.0M (exactly $4,049,998) Hypnohead
Rail Route older $24.99 2,400 88% 72k $1.8M (exactly $1,799,280) Bitrich.info
Dummynation older $11.99 3,127 88% 94k $1.1M (exactly $1,124,782) Alejandro Hernández Ferrero
I am an Air Traffic Controller 4 older $59.99 566 79% 17k $1.0M (exactly $1,018,630) TechnoBrain
GT Manager $24.99 236 71% 7.1k $177k (exactly $176,929) THE TINY DIGITAL FACTORY, IMV STUDIO
Delivery INC older $14.99 257 71% 7.7k $116k (exactly $115,573) DIGIFOX
Let's Cook Together older $15.99 211 97% 6.3k $101k (exactly $101,217) Yellow Dot
Train Valley Origins $11.95 266 75% 8.0k $95k (exactly $95,361) Flazm
Riot Operator $14.99 151 25% 4.5k $68k (exactly $67,905) Beta 2 Games
Queen's Brothel $9.99 192 84% 5.8k $58k (exactly $57,542) Deep Games LLC
SkyInFlames · EA $6.99 223 95% 6.7k $47k (exactly $46,763) VasyliyBritva
Tennis Manager 25 $19.99 76 68% 2.3k $46k (exactly $45,577) Rebound
Space Drilling Station · EA $19.99 63 90% 1.9k $38k (exactly $37,781) Ayota Games
ATC Ground Point $15.99 77 81% 2.3k $37k (exactly $36,937) Blueon

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.