Do I ship it?

Games › Real Time Tactics › Real Time Tactics + Sports

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Real Time Tactics Sports game?

Real Time Tactics + Sports

Of 46 developers who shipped a Real Time Tactics Sports game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 74 more are announced, ×2.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.3k, ×2.1 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $210; 1 in 20 cleared $1.3M, ×2150 the market median. Revenue is down 45% on the market; 74 games are announced against 28 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.1 times the market baseline, revenue down 45% on the market, 74 announced, ×2.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Real Time Tactics + Sports
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 46
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $416 → $3.0k → $898 → $3.6k → $19k → $1.3k → $1.0k (still earning) → $899 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Real Time Tactics + Sports: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 46
Bottom 30% $210 (exactly $210)
Median $1.3k (exactly $1,336)
Top 25% $14k (exactly $13,850)
Top 5% $1.3M (exactly $1,349,925)
Developers, 2 yr 46
Released games 168
Announced 74
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 45% on the market, supply 40% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Real Time Tactics
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Sports
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Real Time Tactics, Sports; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Management, Strategy
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Realistic, Third Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 74% positive over 66,190 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $210, median $1.3k, 1 in 4 over $13k, 1 in 20 over $1.3M.

3 in 10 developers made under $210. 9 in 10 of the 36 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 74 games are announced against 28 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.6 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Real Time Tactics with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + DragonsStrong odds17 devs · median $6.6k · 19 announced
  2. + Outbreak SimFair12 devs · median $1.8k · 14 announced
  3. + HackingFair11 devs · median $987 · 11 announced
  4. + World War IIPoor odds24 devs · median $67k · 35 announced
  5. + Cold WarPoor odds9 devs · median $19k · 16 announced
  6. + HistoricalPoor odds88 devs · median $19k · 154 announced
  7. + Real-Time with PausePoor odds19 devs · median $16k · 31 announced
  8. + Real-TimePoor odds16 devs · median $16k · 26 announced
  9. + MechsPoor odds16 devs · median $13k · 32 announced
  10. + Vehicular CombatPoor odds20 devs · median $9.6k · 50 announced
  11. + God GamePoor odds19 devs · median $7.8k · 32 announced
  12. + Open WorldPoor odds29 devs · median $7.2k · 111 announced

All 176 pairs on the Real Time Tactics page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

REMATCH 2025 · $36M Pro Soccer Online 2025 · $3.5M Teamfight Manager 2 2026 · EA · $1.3M Infinite Tournament Paintball 2020 · $241k College Bowl 2024 · $197k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
REMATCH $29.99 39,905 70% 1.2M $36M (exactly $35,902,528) Sloclap
Pro Soccer Online $4.99 23,241 82% 697k $3.5M (exactly $3,479,178) Skywall Studios LLC
Teamfight Manager 2 · EA $19.99 2,251 60% 68k $1.3M (exactly $1,349,925) Team Samoyed
Infinite Tournament Paintball older $14.99 537 84% 16k $241k (exactly $241,489) FiveTwo Games
College Bowl older $24.99 263 84% 7.9k $197k (exactly $197,171) Super Pixel Games
Tennis Elbow Manager 2 older $29.99 202 91% 6.1k $182k (exactly $181,739) Mana Games
GT Manager $24.99 236 71% 7.1k $177k (exactly $176,929) THE TINY DIGITAL FACTORY, IMV STUDIO
Motion Soccer PRO $19.99 223 79% 6.7k $134k (exactly $133,733) Ivanovich Games
Handball 21 older $39.99 107 45% 3.2k $128k (exactly $128,368) Eko Software
Tactic Boxing older $9.99 416 77% 12k $125k (exactly $124,675) Stately Eagle Games
Dawn of Anarchy $13.99 125 84% 3.8k $52k (exactly $52,462) Quacky Games
Tennis Manager 25 $19.99 76 68% 2.3k $46k (exactly $45,577) Rebound
Electro Bop Boxing League $14.99 84 79% 2.5k $38k (exactly $37,775) Developer Dob
All Your Wrestling Pro Manager $19.99 33 81% 990 $20k (exactly $19,790) All Your Games Studios
Rugby League Team Manager 4 $39.99 16 43% 480 $19k (exactly $19,195) Alternative Software Ltd

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.