Should I ship a PvP Wrestling game?
PvP + Wrestling
Only 9 developers shipped a PvP Wrestling game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, WWE 2K25, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 29 more are announced, ×15 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 8 / 10 build.
Only 2 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $1.5k against a market of $1.5k. 29 games are announced.
| Bottom 30% | $598 (exactly $598) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.5k (exactly $1,497) |
| Top 25% | $2.2k (exactly $2,156) |
| Top 5% | $7.4M (exactly $7,393,168) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 9 |
| Released games | 43 |
| Announced | 29 |
| Effort | 8 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $3.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 70% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 21%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 8 / 10 · online systems, open world
- Systems
- PvP, Wrestling
- Price point
- $3.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $39.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.
The top 10 games average 72% positive over 9,737 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $600. 8 in 10 of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 29 games are announced against 2 developers who shipped in the last year, ×15 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
PvP with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + BaseballFair
- + TransportationFair
- + BasketballFair
- + Football (American)Fair
- + BikesFair
- + GolfFair
- + World War IFair
- + IncrementalFair
- + BilliardsFair
- + TennisLong shot
- + TypingLong shot
- + SpellingLong shot
Comparable games
WWE 2K25 2025 · $7.4M 
AEW: Fight Forever 2023 · $1.6M 
Virtua Fighter 5 R.E.V.O. World Stage 2025 · $1.1M 
Driftland: The Magic Revival 2019 · $863k 
RetroMania Wrestling 2021 · $146k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | WWE 2K25 | $59.99 | 4,108 73% | 123k | $7.4M (exactly $7,393,168) | Visual Concepts | |
| | AEW: Fight Forever | older | $39.99 | 1,343 59% | 40k | $1.6M (exactly $1,611,197) | YUKE'S |
| | Virtua Fighter 5 R.E.V.O. World Stage | $19.99 | 1,897 71% | 57k | $1.1M (exactly $1,137,631) | RGG Studio | |
| | Driftland: The Magic Revival | older | $19.99 | 1,439 73% | 43k | $863k (exactly $862,968) | Star Drifters |
| | RetroMania Wrestling | older | $19.99 | 243 80% | 7.3k | $146k (exactly $145,727) | Retrosoft Studios |
 | Checkmate Showdown | older | $19.99 | 192 80% | 5.8k | $115k (exactly $115,142) | BadRez Games |
 | Action Arcade Wrestling | older | $14.99 | 130 75% | 3.9k | $58k (exactly $58,461) | VICO Game Studio |
 | Sumotori Dreams Classic | older | $4.99 | 269 96% | 8.1k | $40k (exactly $40,269) | Peter Soltesz |
 | Casual Pro Wrestling | · EA older | $14.99 | 67 80% | 2.0k | $30k (exactly $30,130) | Patrick Dinklage |
 | Mark Out! The Wrestling Card Game | older | $14.99 | 49 93% | 1.5k | $22k (exactly $22,035) | DIY Experiences LLC |
 | SLOWLY FIGHTER | $5.99 | 12 100% | 360 | $2.2k (exactly $2,156) | Bakumatsu Games | |
 | Brainrot Animals Fighting | $1.99 | 35 71% | 1.1k | $2.1k (exactly $2,090) | River Way Studios | |
 | FINAL FURY | · EA | $4.99 | 10 60% | 300 | $1.5k (exactly $1,497) | Kluge Interactive |
 | Little Fighters on Stream | $3.99 | 9 88% | 270 | $1.1k (exactly $1,077) | TEAM Black Hat Robot | |
 | Wrestling Classics: Olde Timey Pro Wrestling | $3.99 | 5 60% | 150 | $598 (exactly $598) | LunarCore Games | |
 | A Camera Duel! | $3.99 | 3 66% | 90 | $359 (exactly $359) | JamieEng542 | |
 | Wrestling Trivia | $0.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $30 (exactly $30) | LoadUpGames.com |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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