Do I ship it?

GamesPvPPvP + Word Game

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a PvP Word Game?

PvP + Word Game

Of 38 developers who shipped a PvP Word Game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 43 more are announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 8 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $180 in the last 2 years and $360 over 4, against a market of $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build. 33 developers shipped in the last year and 43 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.1 times the market baseline, revenue down 95% on the market, 43 announced, ×1.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
PvP + Word Game
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 38
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $599 → $898 → $6.5k → $239 → $180 (still earning) → $150 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for PvP + Word Game: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 38
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $180 (exactly $180)
Top 25% $2.2k (exactly $2,248)
Top 5% $95k (exactly $95,305)
Developers, 2 yr 38
Released games 101
Announced 43
Effort 8 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 95% on the market, supply 560% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 19%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

PvP
effort 8 / 10 · low · authoritative servers, latency compensation, cheating
Word Game
effort 1 / 10 · high · dictionary logic and simple UI

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
8 / 10 · online systems, open world
Systems
PvP, Word Game; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Co-op, Board Game, Immersive Sim
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Family Friendly, Anime
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 85% positive over 3,644 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $180, 1 in 4 over $2.2k, 1 in 20 over $95k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 7 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 43 games are announced against 33 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

PvP with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + BaseballFair6 devs · median $7.6k · 9 announced
  2. + TransportationFair10 devs · median $5.7k · 11 announced
  3. + BasketballFair25 devs · median $2.6k · 28 announced
  4. + Football (American)Fair17 devs · median $1.8k · 12 announced
  5. + BikesFair10 devs · median $1.5k · 7 announced
  6. + GolfFair29 devs · median $1.4k · 34 announced
  7. + World War IFair12 devs · median $1.3k · 14 announced
  8. + IncrementalFair36 devs · median $1.2k · 48 announced
  9. + BilliardsFair18 devs · median $1.1k · 12 announced
  10. + TennisLong shot17 devs · median $899 · 15 announced
  11. + TypingLong shot28 devs · median $719 · 31 announced
  12. + SpellingLong shot14 devs · median $719 · 17 announced

All 247 pairs on the PvP page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
DEATH NOTE Killer Within $9.99 2,324 84% 70k $697k (exactly $696,503) Grounding Inc.
The Jackbox Party Pack 9 older $29.99 605 84% 18k $544k (exactly $544,318) Jackbox Games, Inc.
The Jackbox Survey Scramble $9.99 318 90% 9.5k $95k (exactly $95,305) Jackbox Games, Inc
RiffTrax: The Game older $9.99 219 91% 6.6k $66k (exactly $65,634) Wide Right Interactive, Mark Zorn, Kurt… (Wide Right Interactive, Mark Zorn, Kurt Wojda)
AI: Art Impostor · EA older $4.99 432 65% 13k $65k (exactly $64,670) Pocketpair
这是谐音梗 $2.40 567 94% 17k $41k (exactly $40,824) Find the Lamp Games
Drawing From Memory older $2.99 215 90% 6.5k $19k (exactly $19,286) Lekker spelen, Kud
おしゃべりキング!コミュ力診断ゲーム $8.99 69 97% 2.1k $19k (exactly $18,609) Hyper Index, Inc.
Eternal Sword Tomb · EA $8.99 68 77% 2.0k $18k (exactly $18,340) 阿郎
Happy Words older $4.99 121 46% 3.6k $18k (exactly $18,114) LAN - GAMES LTD
Lateral Thinking Together · EA $5.99 85 43% 2.6k $15k (exactly $15,274) PushForward
Code Velocity $2.99 99 100% 3.0k $8.9k (exactly $8,880) STIM GAMES
Yesterday's News $11.99 18 83% 540 $6.5k (exactly $6,475) Rooibos Games
Idiom Royale $1.99 91 63% 2.7k $5.4k (exactly $5,433) NyxWorks
Play Together: Party Games $14.99 5 60% 150 $2.2k (exactly $2,248) Plot Interactive

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.