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Should I ship a PvP Walking Simulator?
PvP + Walking Simulator
Only 17 developers shipped a PvP Walking Simulator in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Longvinter, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 29 more are announced, ×4.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 8 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.0k, ×0.7 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $630. 29 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.1 per shipper, while revenue is down 60% on the market.
| Bottom 30% | $629 (exactly $629) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.0k (exactly $1,048) |
| Top 25% | $2.4k (exactly $2,395) |
| Top 5% | $4.2M (exactly $4,168,515) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 17 |
| Released games | 43 |
| Announced | 29 |
| Effort | 8 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 60% on the market, supply 30% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 28%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- PvP
- effort 8 / 10 · low · authoritative servers, latency compensation, cheating
- Walking Simulator
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 8 / 10 · online systems, open world
- Systems
- PvP, Walking Simulator; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Exploration, Open World
- Price point
- $4.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Cute, First-Person
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.
The top 10 games average 68% positive over 7,145 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $630. 9 in 10 of the 14 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 29 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.1 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
PvP with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + BaseballFair
- + TransportationFair
- + BasketballFair
- + Football (American)Fair
- + BikesFair
- + GolfFair
- + World War IFair
- + IncrementalFair
- + BilliardsFair
- + TennisLong shot
- + TypingLong shot
- + SpellingLong shot
Comparable games
Miscreated 2018 · $21M 
Longvinter 2025 · $4.2M 
Animalia Survival 2021 · EA · $1.7M 
CastleMiner Z 2014 · $1.4M 
Isles of Yore 2022 · EA · $76k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Miscreated | older | $29.99 | 23,050 66% | 692k | $21M (exactly $20,738,085) | Entrada Interactive LLC |
| | Longvinter | $19.99 | 6,951 68% | 209k | $4.2M (exactly $4,168,515) | Uuvana Studios | |
| | Animalia Survival | · EA older | $19.99 | 2,823 64% | 85k | $1.7M (exactly $1,692,953) | High Brazil Studio |
| | CastleMiner Z | older | $5.99 | 7,939 83% | 238k | $1.4M (exactly $1,426,638) | DigitalDNA Games |
| | Isles of Yore | · EA older | $19.99 | 127 69% | 3.8k | $76k (exactly $76,162) | MaverickMatryoshka |
 | Mini Thief | older | $4.99 | 373 69% | 11k | $56k (exactly $55,838) | Stranga Games, TommahGames |
 | Rift's Cave | older | $4.99 | 93 68% | 2.8k | $14k (exactly $13,922) | Volens Nolens Games |
 | Jumpscare Simulator: System Breach | $4.99 | 88 90% | 2.6k | $13k (exactly $13,174) | Durultay Games | |
 | Wildstrive | · EA older | $7.99 | 34 44% | 1.0k | $8.2k (exactly $8,150) | MonsterGaze |
 | run for money Hunter vs. Runner! Which side will you win!? | $29.99 | 5 80% | 150 | $4.5k (exactly $4,498) | INFINITY Co., Ltd. | |
 | Idyllic cats: Japan | $9.99 | 11 100% | 330 | $3.3k (exactly $3,297) | GameRED indie | |
 | the travelers | $4.99 | 16 100% | 480 | $2.4k (exactly $2,395) | Gabriel Games LLC | |
 | City Multi Fun | $4.99 | 16 100% | 480 | $2.4k (exactly $2,395) | Net Get Games | |
 | Upstairs | $2.99 | 17 64% | 510 | $1.5k (exactly $1,525) | MODE24 | |
 | Backrooms: Steps into the abyss | $1.99 | 24 58% | 720 | $1.4k (exactly $1,433) | SUDT Games | |
 | Twelve Sticks | · EA | $4.99 | 7 28% | 210 | $1.0k (exactly $1,048) | Beshbarmak games |
 | Backrooms: Liminal Conflict | · EA | $2.99 | 10 80% | 300 | $897 (exactly $897) | E.Mert |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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