Do I ship it?

GamesPvPPvP + Trivia

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a PvP Trivia game?

PvP + Trivia

Of 23 developers who shipped a PvP Trivia game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 37 more are announced, ×2.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 8 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $180 in the last 2 years and $300 over 4, against a market of $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build. 17 developers shipped in the last year and 37 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.1 times the market baseline, revenue down 85% on the market, 37 announced, ×2.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
PvP + Trivia
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 23
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.9k → $150 → $4.2k → $150 → $119 (still earning) → $179 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for PvP + Trivia: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 23
Bottom 30% $30 (exactly $30)
Median $178 (exactly $178)
Top 25% $5.4k (exactly $5,433)
Top 5% $95k (exactly $95,305)
Developers, 2 yr 23
Released games 81
Announced 37
Effort 8 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 85% on the market, supply 185% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

PvP
effort 8 / 10 · low · authoritative servers, latency compensation, cheating
Trivia
effort 1 / 10 · high · question bank and scoring

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
8 / 10 · online systems, open world
Systems
PvP, Trivia; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Local Multiplayer, 4 Player Local, Board Game
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
8 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Colorful, Comedy, Funny
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 88% positive over 1,201 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $180, 1 in 4 over $5.4k, 1 in 20 over $95k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 7 in 10 of the 11 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 37 games are announced against 17 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

PvP with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + BaseballFair6 devs · median $7.6k · 9 announced
  2. + TransportationFair10 devs · median $5.7k · 11 announced
  3. + BasketballFair25 devs · median $2.6k · 28 announced
  4. + Football (American)Fair17 devs · median $1.8k · 12 announced
  5. + BikesFair10 devs · median $1.5k · 7 announced
  6. + GolfFair29 devs · median $1.4k · 34 announced
  7. + World War IFair12 devs · median $1.3k · 14 announced
  8. + IncrementalFair36 devs · median $1.2k · 48 announced
  9. + BilliardsFair18 devs · median $1.1k · 12 announced
  10. + TennisLong shot17 devs · median $899 · 15 announced
  11. + TypingLong shot28 devs · median $719 · 31 announced
  12. + SpellingLong shot14 devs · median $719 · 17 announced

All 247 pairs on the PvP page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
The Jackbox Party Pack 9 older $29.99 605 84% 18k $544k (exactly $544,318) Jackbox Games, Inc.
The Jackbox Party Pack 10 older $29.99 500 65% 15k $450k (exactly $449,850) Jackbox Games, Inc.
The Jackbox Party Pack 11 $29.99 419 93% 13k $377k (exactly $376,974) Jackbox Games, Inc.
Who Wants To Be A Millionaire older $29.99 405 52% 12k $364k (exactly $364,378) Appeal Studios, Balio Studio
Drawful 2 older $9.99 821 91% 25k $246k (exactly $246,054) Jackbox Games, Inc.
The Jackbox Party Starter older $19.99 408 94% 12k $245k (exactly $244,678) Jackbox Games, Inc.
The Jackbox Naughty Pack older $19.99 385 33% 12k $231k (exactly $230,884) Jackbox Games, Inc.
Are You Smarter Than A 5th Grader older $29.99 149 63% 4.5k $134k (exactly $134,055) Massive Miniteam
Brain Show: Party Game older $14.99 234 73% 7.0k $105k (exactly $105,230) Simplicity Games
The Jackbox Survey Scramble $9.99 318 90% 9.5k $95k (exactly $95,305) Jackbox Games, Inc
Party Quiz $11.99 147 80% 4.4k $53k (exactly $52,876) White Ink
Fallacy Quiz $14.99 88 88% 2.6k $40k (exactly $39,574) Tim Krief
The You Quiz $9.99 100 93% 3.0k $30k (exactly $29,970) Hazard Wizard
Idiom Royale $1.99 91 63% 2.7k $5.4k (exactly $5,433) NyxWorks
Stick Scholars $4.99 30 90% 900 $4.5k (exactly $4,491) JaDropping Games
Play Together: Party Games $14.99 5 60% 150 $2.2k (exactly $2,248) Plot Interactive
Musica $4.99 2 0% 60 $299 (exactly $299) VECTRA
Question Roulette $7.99 1 100% 30 $240 (exactly $240) Mysterious Alien

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.