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Should I ship a PvP Time Manipulation game?
PvP + Time Manipulation
Only 8 developers shipped a PvP Time Manipulation game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Shadows of Soldiers, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 21 more are announced, ×3.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 8 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $210 in the last 2 years and $210 over 4, against a market of $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build. 6 developers shipped in the last year and 21 games are announced.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $0 (exactly $0) |
|---|---|
| Median | $210 (exactly $210) |
| Top 25% | $1.2k (exactly $1,198) |
| Top 5% | $13k (exactly $13,486) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 8 |
| Released games | 28 |
| Announced | 21 |
| Effort | 8 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 200% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 25%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- PvP
- effort 8 / 10 · low · authoritative servers, latency compensation, cheating
- Time Manipulation
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 8 / 10 · online systems, open world
- Systems
- PvP, Time Manipulation
- Price point
- $4.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 82% positive over 30,425 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $50. 8 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 21 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.5 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
PvP with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + BaseballFair
- + TransportationFair
- + BasketballFair
- + Football (American)Fair
- + BikesFair
- + GolfFair
- + World War IFair
- + IncrementalFair
- + BilliardsFair
- + TennisLong shot
- + TypingLong shot
- + SpellingLong shot
Comparable games
DEATHLOOP 2021 · $36M 
5D Chess With Multiverse Time Travel 2020 · $2.9M 
ICBM 2020 · $993k 
Sine Mora EX 2017 · $139k 
PERIMETER: Legate Edition 2024 · $43k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | DEATHLOOP | older | $59.99 | 19,910 76% | 597k | $36M (exactly $35,832,027) | Arkane Studios |
| | 5D Chess With Multiverse Time Travel | older | $11.99 | 8,097 96% | 243k | $2.9M (exactly $2,912,491) | Conor Petersen, Thunkspace, LLC |
| | ICBM | older | $19.99 | 1,655 91% | 50k | $993k (exactly $992,503) | SoftWarWare, K-Project |
| | Sine Mora EX | older | $9.99 | 463 66% | 14k | $139k (exactly $138,761) | Digital Reality, Grasshopper Manufactur… (Digital Reality, Grasshopper Manufacture, Gyroscope Games) |
| | PERIMETER: Legate Edition | older | $9.99 | 143 92% | 4.3k | $43k (exactly $42,857) | K-D Lab |
 | Shadows of Soldiers | $9.99 | 45 75% | 1.4k | $13k (exactly $13,486) | Ghost in the Wire | |
 | TIS - True Idle Simulator | older | $2.99 | 60 86% | 1.8k | $5.4k (exactly $5,382) | PhantomHeadache |
 | Time Warp Infinite | older | $9.99 | 13 92% | 390 | $3.9k (exactly $3,896) | Zoglu |
 | Friendship Club | · EA older | $11.99 | 8 75% | 240 | $2.9k (exactly $2,878) | Force Of Habit, Clockwork Cuckoo |
 | Hole in the Clouds | older | $2.99 | 31 100% | 930 | $2.8k (exactly $2,781) | Shortbread |
 | RC: Car Maniacs | $4.99 | 8 62% | 240 | $1.2k (exactly $1,198) | GH Games | |
 | Outplay | · EA | $2.99 | 10 100% | 300 | $897 (exactly $897) | nghtmrz |
 | UKNON Jones & Guynelk 2 | $7.00 | 1 100% | 30 | $210 (exactly $210) | Guynelk ROSAMONT | |
 | Orion-7 | $2.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $90 (exactly $90) | Skybug | |
 | Sudoku online with friends | $0.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Ilya Cherkasov | |
 | Ropeat | $4.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Ropeat Team | |
 | TETWORD | $5.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | BrainGymGames |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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