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Should I ship a PvP Time Attack game?
PvP + Time Attack
Only 9 developers shipped a PvP Time Attack game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Ballest of Them All, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 13 more are announced, ×2.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 8 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $990, ×0.7 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $420. 13 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.6 per shipper, while revenue is up 120% on the market.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $419 (exactly $419) |
|---|---|
| Median | $989 (exactly $989) |
| Top 25% | $4.0k (exactly $3,957) |
| Top 5% | $20k (exactly $19,767) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 9 |
| Released games | 36 |
| Announced | 13 |
| Effort | 8 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $7.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 120% on the market, supply 25% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- PvP
- effort 8 / 10 · low · authoritative servers, latency compensation, cheating
- Time Attack
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 8 / 10 · online systems, open world
- Systems
- PvP, Time Attack
- Price point
- $7.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $5.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.
The top 10 games average 87% positive over 16,809 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $420. 8 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 13 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.6 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
PvP with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + BaseballFair
- + TransportationFair
- + BasketballFair
- + Football (American)Fair
- + BikesFair
- + GolfFair
- + World War IFair
- + IncrementalFair
- + BilliardsFair
- + TennisLong shot
- + TypingLong shot
- + SpellingLong shot
Comparable games
Hot Lava 2019 · $3.2M 
Barro 2018 · $487k 
Barro F 2020 · $349k 
Barro 2020 2019 · $289k 
Barro Racing 2020 · $187k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Hot Lava | older | $19.99 | 5,335 92% | 160k | $3.2M (exactly $3,199,399) | Klei Entertainment |
| | Barro | older | $4.99 | 3,253 85% | 98k | $487k (exactly $486,974) | SC Jogos |
| | Barro F | older | $4.99 | 2,329 84% | 70k | $349k (exactly $348,651) | SC Jogos |
| | Barro 2020 | older | $4.99 | 1,932 84% | 58k | $289k (exactly $289,220) | SC Jogos |
| | Barro Racing | older | $4.99 | 1,250 83% | 38k | $187k (exactly $187,125) | SC Jogos |
 | Barro 22 | older | $4.99 | 868 89% | 26k | $130k (exactly $129,940) | SC Jogos |
 | Barro GT | older | $4.99 | 817 84% | 25k | $122k (exactly $122,305) | SC Jogos |
 | Barro F22 | older | $4.99 | 621 84% | 19k | $93k (exactly $92,964) | SC Jogos |
 | Pang Adventures | older | $9.99 | 216 85% | 6.5k | $65k (exactly $64,735) | Dotemu |
 | All-Star Fruit Racing | older | $9.99 | 188 68% | 5.6k | $56k (exactly $56,344) | 3DClouds |
 | Ballest of Them All | · EA | $5.99 | 110 97% | 3.3k | $20k (exactly $19,767) | Low5ive, Action Jackson |
 | Barro F25 | $4.99 | 117 86% | 3.5k | $18k (exactly $17,515) | SC Jogos | |
 | Supersonic Bridge Racing | $11.99 | 11 100% | 330 | $4.0k (exactly $3,957) | Stumi Games | |
 | Drawn to Drift | $9.99 | 4 100% | 120 | $1.2k (exactly $1,199) | FrogForgeGames | |
 | Smoots Crazy Wave | $10.99 | 3 100% | 90 | $989 (exactly $989) | Kaneda Games | |
 | Run Pro | $2.99 | 7 71% | 210 | $628 (exactly $628) | Begma | |
 | Explosive Track - Crazy Action Arcade Racing | $6.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $419 (exactly $419) | UY Studios | |
 | Formula Rush | $7.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Cosmix | |
 | ZeroOut | $8.00 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Gray Swan Games |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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