Do I ship it?

Games › PvP › PvP + Supernatural

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Supernatural PvP game?

PvP + Supernatural

Of 26 developers who shipped a Supernatural PvP game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 72 more are announced, ×4.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 8 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $630, ×0.4 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $50. 72 games are announced against 15 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.8 per shipper, while revenue is up 70% on the market.

Deciding numbers: median 0.4 times the market baseline, revenue up 70% on the market, 72 announced, ×4.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
PvP + Supernatural
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 26
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.1k → $12k → $4.8k → $5.7k → $4.8k → $359 (still earning) → $13k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for PvP + Supernatural: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 26
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $629 (exactly $629)
Top 25% $5.7k (exactly $5,689)
Top 5% $470k (exactly $469,643)
Developers, 2 yr 26
Released games 95
Announced 72
Effort 8 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 70% on the market, supply 35% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 36%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

PvP
effort 8 / 10 · low · authoritative servers, latency compensation, cheating
Supernatural
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
8 / 10 · online systems, open world
Systems
PvP; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Online Co-Op, Action, Co-op
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $29.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Atmospheric, First-Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 80% positive over 4,063 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $630, 1 in 4 over $5.6k, 1 in 20 over $460k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 9 in 10 of the 16 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 72 games are announced against 15 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

PvP with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + BaseballFair6 devs · median $7.6k · 9 announced
  2. + TransportationFair10 devs · median $5.7k · 11 announced
  3. + BasketballFair25 devs · median $2.6k · 28 announced
  4. + Football (American)Fair17 devs · median $1.8k · 12 announced
  5. + BikesFair10 devs · median $1.5k · 7 announced
  6. + GolfFair29 devs · median $1.4k · 34 announced
  7. + World War IFair12 devs · median $1.3k · 14 announced
  8. + IncrementalFair36 devs · median $1.2k · 48 announced
  9. + BilliardsFair18 devs · median $1.1k · 12 announced
  10. + TennisLong shot17 devs · median $899 · 15 announced
  11. + TypingLong shot28 devs · median $719 · 31 announced
  12. + SpellingLong shot14 devs · median $719 · 17 announced

All 247 pairs on the PvP page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

BIGFOOT 2017 · EA · $11M Demon Slayer -Kimetsu no Yaiba- The Hinokami Chronicles 2 2025 · $5.2M Midnight Ghost Hunt 2024 · $3.3M Harry Potter: Quidditch Champions 2024 · $2.5M CASE 2: Animatronics Survival 2019 · $939k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
BIGFOOT · EA older $19.99 17,818 83% 535k $11M (exactly $10,685,455) CyberLight Game Studio
Demon Slayer -Kimetsu no Yaiba- The Hinokami Chronicles 2 $59.99 2,879 83% 86k $5.2M (exactly $5,181,336) CyberConnect2
Midnight Ghost Hunt older $19.99 5,420 80% 163k $3.3M (exactly $3,250,374) Vaulted Sky Games
Harry Potter: Quidditch Champions older $29.99 2,790 73% 84k $2.5M (exactly $2,510,163) Unbroken Studios
CASE 2: Animatronics Survival older $9.99 3,132 81% 94k $939k (exactly $938,660) Walnut LLC
PAGUI打鬼 older $19.99 1,189 82% 36k $713k (exactly $713,043) padendon
Ghostbusters: Spirits Unleashed Ecto Edition older $19.99 1,141 89% 34k $684k (exactly $684,258) IllFonic
Fear Therapy · EA older $4.99 3,630 68% 109k $543k (exactly $543,411) Black Flag Studios
Active Matter $29.99 522 75% 16k $470k (exactly $469,643) Matter Team
Eville older $14.99 433 68% 13k $195k (exactly $194,720) VestGames
SEVERANCE · EA $9.99 459 70% 14k $138k (exactly $137,562) Sykes Games
Board Game Society $14.99 29 62% 870 $13k (exactly $13,041) Jetebra Games
Midnight Mayhem $6.99 46 78% 1.4k $9.6k (exactly $9,646) Gradient Games
Forecursed · EA $9.99 26 92% 780 $7.8k (exactly $7,792) William Van Herck
DON'T GET GOT · EA $4.99 38 47% 1.1k $5.7k (exactly $5,689) Bossa Studios
Where is Billy? $6.99 23 100% 690 $4.8k (exactly $4,823) Triple Boris Inc., Dodo Tako
The Skeletons Are Fighting $9.99 16 100% 480 $4.8k (exactly $4,795) SteamyDev
BACKROOMS: DON'T LOOK AWAY $2.99 25 84% 750 $2.2k (exactly $2,242) DMNT Interactive

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.