Do I ship it?

GamesPvPPvP + Superhero

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Superhero PvP game?

PvP + Superhero

Only 11 developers shipped a Superhero PvP game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Invincible VS, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 29 more are announced, ×3.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 8 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $720, ×0.5 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300. 29 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.2 per shipper, while momentum is unreadable here, too few recent games.

Deciding numbers: median 0.5 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 29 announced, ×3.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
PvP + Superhero
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 11
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $14k → $8.6k → $49k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for PvP + Superhero: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 11
Bottom 30% $300 (exactly $300)
Median $719 (exactly $719)
Top 25% $49k (exactly $49,480)
Top 5% $4.5M (exactly $4,545,591)
Developers, 2 yr 11
Released games 36
Announced 29
Effort 8 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $14.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 350% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 39%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

PvP
effort 8 / 10 · low · authoritative servers, latency compensation, cheating
Superhero
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
8 / 10 · online systems, open world
Systems
PvP
Price point
$14.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 9 games average 74% positive over 3,914 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $720, 1 in 4 over $49k, 1 in 20 over $4.5M.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. 6 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 29 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

PvP with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + BaseballFair6 devs · median $7.6k · 9 announced
  2. + TransportationFair10 devs · median $5.7k · 11 announced
  3. + BasketballFair25 devs · median $2.6k · 28 announced
  4. + Football (American)Fair17 devs · median $1.8k · 12 announced
  5. + BikesFair10 devs · median $1.5k · 7 announced
  6. + GolfFair29 devs · median $1.4k · 34 announced
  7. + World War IFair12 devs · median $1.3k · 14 announced
  8. + IncrementalFair36 devs · median $1.2k · 48 announced
  9. + BilliardsFair18 devs · median $1.1k · 12 announced
  10. + TennisLong shot17 devs · median $899 · 15 announced
  11. + TypingLong shot28 devs · median $719 · 31 announced
  12. + SpellingLong shot14 devs · median $719 · 17 announced

All 247 pairs on the PvP page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Injustice™ 2 older $49.99 17,445 86% 523k $26M (exactly $26,162,266) NetherRealm Studios, QLOC
Invincible VS $49.99 3,031 76% 91k $4.5M (exactly $4,545,591) Quarter Up
DRAGON BALL: THE BREAKERS older $29.99 4,983 50% 149k $4.5M (exactly $4,483,205) Dimps Corporation
MY HERO ACADEMIA: All’s Justice $59.99 765 63% 23k $1.4M (exactly $1,376,770) Byking Inc.
STARVAULT VR $24.99 66 89% 2.0k $49k (exactly $49,480) Theia Games
Come on Baby! older $14.99 69 78% 2.1k $31k (exactly $31,029) Expotato Corp.
Drawing From Memory older $2.99 215 90% 6.5k $19k (exactly $19,286) Lekker spelen, Kud
FAS: Fight Action Sandbox older $6.99 69 63% 2.1k $14k (exactly $14,469) Vona Soft
QUADRICOLOR: Ultra Sentai Color Ranger $12.99 27 96% 810 $11k (exactly $10,522) Quadri Team
HyperBrawl Tournament older $5.99 54 83% 1.6k $9.7k (exactly $9,704) Milky Tea Studios
Bullet: Surge $15.99 18 94% 540 $8.6k (exactly $8,635) Cerbere Games
SUPER MARKET $5.99 4 75% 120 $719 (exactly $719) Spectacularly Obsolete Logic Operations… (Spectacularly Obsolete Logic Operations: Glitchy Applications Marvelously Executed Shoddily)
FULL BET - FIGHTING CASINO - $19.99 1 100% 30 $600 (exactly $600) FlatMountain
Hero Mania $9.99 1 100% 30 $300 (exactly $300) Cosmic Tonic LLC
Skully Bunnies · EA $1.99 1 0% 30 $60 (exactly $60) Chick Meow Studios
Slap Fighter $14.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Curious Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.