Do I ship it?

GamesPvPPvP + Solitaire

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a PvP Solitaire game?

PvP + Solitaire

Of 20 developers who shipped a PvP Solitaire game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 34 more are announced, ×2.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 8 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $180 in the last 2 years and $300 over 4, against a market of $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build. 13 developers shipped in the last year and 34 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.1 times the market baseline, revenue down 40% on the market, 34 announced, ×2.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
PvP + Solitaire
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 20
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $300 → $2.5k → $178 → $3.8k → $59 (still earning) → $60 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for PvP + Solitaire: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 20
Bottom 30% $59 (exactly $59)
Median $178 (exactly $178)
Top 25% $4.3k (exactly $4,341)
Top 5% $27k (exactly $26,846)
Developers, 2 yr 20
Released games 69
Announced 34
Effort 8 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 40% on the market, supply 85% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 30%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

PvP
effort 8 / 10 · low · authoritative servers, latency compensation, cheating
Solitaire
effort 1 / 10 · high · fixed rules, cards and a table

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
8 / 10 · online systems, open world
Systems
PvP, Solitaire; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Board Game, Card Game
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $7.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Relaxing, 2D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $7.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 82% positive over 390 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $59, median $180, 1 in 4 over $4.3k, 1 in 20 over $26k.

3 in 10 developers made under $59. All of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 34 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.6 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

PvP with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + BaseballFair6 devs · median $7.6k · 9 announced
  2. + TransportationFair10 devs · median $5.7k · 11 announced
  3. + BasketballFair25 devs · median $2.6k · 28 announced
  4. + Football (American)Fair17 devs · median $1.8k · 12 announced
  5. + BikesFair10 devs · median $1.5k · 7 announced
  6. + GolfFair29 devs · median $1.4k · 34 announced
  7. + World War IFair12 devs · median $1.3k · 14 announced
  8. + IncrementalFair36 devs · median $1.2k · 48 announced
  9. + BilliardsFair18 devs · median $1.1k · 12 announced
  10. + TennisLong shot17 devs · median $899 · 15 announced
  11. + TypingLong shot28 devs · median $719 · 31 announced
  12. + SpellingLong shot14 devs · median $719 · 17 announced

All 247 pairs on the PvP page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Root older $14.99 5,049 90% 151k $2.3M (exactly $2,270,535) Dire Wolf
Last Call BBS older $19.99 1,220 94% 37k $732k (exactly $731,634) Zachtronics
Mystic Vale older $12.99 384 89% 12k $150k (exactly $149,645) Nomad Games
Tsuro - The Game of The Path older $9.99 134 91% 4.0k $40k (exactly $40,160) Thunderbox Entertainment
Cat Lady - The Card Game older $3.99 230 97% 6.9k $28k (exactly $27,531) Nomad Games
災難公關+ $7.99 112 90% 3.4k $27k (exactly $26,846) TamaniDamani
Last Farewell older $14.99 52 69% 1.6k $23k (exactly $23,384) Flat Tail Studios AB
Kemono Mahjong older $4.99 142 89% 4.3k $21k (exactly $21,257) Cyberdog Software
Railroad Ink Challenge older $7.99 88 82% 2.6k $21k (exactly $21,094) Horrible Guild
Pro Strategy Football 2026 $24.99 28 89% 840 $21k (exactly $20,992) Kerry Batts
Kungfu Card · EA $4.99 125 73% 3.8k $19k (exactly $18,712) ZeroCastle Game Studio, Miwu Studio
Board game party $2.99 50 80% 1.5k $4.5k (exactly $4,485) Willgw
Guandan $4.99 29 89% 870 $4.3k (exactly $4,341) Pixel Dance
Roulette Heist $6.99 18 94% 540 $3.8k (exactly $3,775) DreamArk Lab
Sudoku $4.99 20 75% 600 $3.0k (exactly $2,994) Popoko VM Games
Spikeball Smash $19.99 1 100% 30 $600 (exactly $600) VRMonkey
Magical Frontline $9.99 1 0% 30 $300 (exactly $300) ima shouganai
Mahjong House: Challenge All Achievements $0.99 6 100% 180 $178 (exactly $178) TMG

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.