Should I ship a Science PvP game?
PvP + Science
Only 9 developers shipped a Science PvP game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Screeps: Arena, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 23 more are announced, ×3.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 8 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $450, ×0.3 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $150. 23 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.8 per shipper, while revenue is up 8505% on the market.
| Bottom 30% | $150 (exactly $150) |
|---|---|
| Median | $449 (exactly $449) |
| Top 25% | $29k (exactly $29,385) |
| Top 5% | $63k (exactly $62,968) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 9 |
| Released games | 51 |
| Announced | 23 |
| Effort | 8 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $11.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 8505% on the market, supply 100% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 35%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 8 / 10 · online systems, open world
- Systems
- PvP
- Price point
- $11.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $39.99 or above; the middle game at $11.99.
The top 10 games average 56% positive over 19,793 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $150. 23 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.8 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
PvP with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + BaseballFair
- + TransportationFair
- + BasketballFair
- + Football (American)Fair
- + BikesFair
- + GolfFair
- + World War IFair
- + IncrementalFair
- + BilliardsFair
- + TennisLong shot
- + TypingLong shot
- + SpellingLong shot
Comparable games
Forza Motorsport 2023 · $26M 
Star Trek: Infinite 2023 · $2.7M 
Mega Man Battle Network Legacy Collection Vol. 1 2023 · $1.5M 
Mega Man Battle Network Legacy Collection Vol. 2 2023 · $625k 
Nexus 5X 2024 · $398k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Forza Motorsport | older | $69.99 | 12,148 51% | 364k | $26M (exactly $25,507,156) | Turn 10 |
| | Star Trek: Infinite | older | $29.99 | 3,030 41% | 91k | $2.7M (exactly $2,726,091) | Nimble Giant Entertainment |
| | Mega Man Battle Network Legacy Collection Vol. 1 | older | $39.99 | 1,290 87% | 39k | $1.5M (exactly $1,547,613) | CAPCOM Co., Ltd. |
| | Mega Man Battle Network Legacy Collection Vol. 2 | older | $39.99 | 521 87% | 16k | $625k (exactly $625,044) | CAPCOM Co., Ltd. |
| | Nexus 5X | older | $14.99 | 884 90% | 27k | $398k (exactly $397,535) | Whatboy Games |
 | Homebrew - Patent Unknown | · EA older | $14.99 | 828 71% | 25k | $372k (exactly $372,352) | Copybugpaste |
 | Who Wants To Be A Millionaire | older | $29.99 | 405 52% | 12k | $364k (exactly $364,378) | Appeal Studios, Balio Studio |
 | Evolution Board Game | older | $14.99 | 348 81% | 10k | $156k (exactly $156,496) | North Star Digital Studios |
 | Brain Show: Party Game | older | $14.99 | 234 73% | 7.0k | $105k (exactly $105,230) | Simplicity Games |
 | Screeps: Arena | $19.99 | 105 82% | 3.2k | $63k (exactly $62,968) | Screeps, LLC | |
 | Evolve Lab | · EA | $14.99 | 69 94% | 2.1k | $31k (exactly $31,029) | SiRen Games |
 | Nature Game System | $19.99 | 49 73% | 1.5k | $29k (exactly $29,385) | North Star Digital Games | |
 | Times Trials | $11.99 | 20 100% | 600 | $7.2k (exactly $7,194) | Arc-Fy | |
 | Basket Bots | $4.99 | 3 66% | 90 | $449 (exactly $449) | Thibaud Reygner | |
 | SpaceBell | · EA | $8.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $270 (exactly $270) | WILLSWAYSTUDIOS |
 | Math4TopDogs | $4.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $150 (exactly $150) | Mathsandcau | |
 | Chronicle Archive - Japan | · EA | $24.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Yugijitsu LLC |
 | Web Wars | $4.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Phantom Jelly Studio |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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