Should I ship a PvP Sailing game?
PvP + Sailing
Only 10 developers shipped a paid PvP Sailing game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Rise of Piracy, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 4 in 10 of the games here are free to play and sit outside these figures. 27 more are announced, ×5.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 8 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $5.1k, ×3.4 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.2k; 1 in 20 cleared $240k, ×167 the market median. Revenue is up 2145% on the market; 27 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $1.2k (exactly $1,199) |
|---|---|
| Median | $5.1k (exactly $5,090) |
| Top 25% | $15k (exactly $14,992) |
| Top 5% | $249k (exactly $249,444) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 10 |
| Released games | 50 |
| Announced | 27 |
| Effort | 8 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 2145% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.
Free games: 44%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 8 / 10 · online systems, open world
- Systems
- PvP, Sailing
- Price point
- $9.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 10 games average 77% positive over 993 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $1.2k. 8 in 10 of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 27 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.4 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
PvP with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + BaseballFair
- + TransportationFair
- + BasketballFair
- + Football (American)Fair
- + BikesFair
- + GolfFair
- + World War IFair
- + IncrementalFair
- + BilliardsFair
- + TennisLong shot
- + TypingLong shot
- + SpellingLong shot
Comparable games
Sea of Thieves: 2026 Edition 2020 · $386M 
Stormworks: Build and Rescue 2020 · $41M 
ATLAS 2018 · EA · $33M 
Naval Action 2019 · $6.1M 
Skull and Bones 2024 · $4.2M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Sea of Thieves: 2026 Edition | older | $39.99 | 322,072 88% | 9.7M | $386M (exactly $386,389,778) | Rare Ltd |
| | Stormworks: Build and Rescue | older | $24.99 | 54,649 90% | 1.6M | $41M (exactly $40,970,355) | Geometa |
| | ATLAS | · EA older | $29.99 | 37,119 46% | 1.1M | $33M (exactly $33,395,964) | Grapeshot Games, Instinct Games |
| | Naval Action | older | $19.99 | 10,187 52% | 306k | $6.1M (exactly $6,109,144) | Bermuda Computer Club |
| | Skull and Bones | older | $29.99 | 4,650 65% | 140k | $4.2M (exactly $4,183,605) | Ubisoft Singapore |
 | Rise of Piracy | · EA | $15.99 | 520 77% | 16k | $249k (exactly $249,444) | IrishJohnGames |
 | Out of Reach: Treasure Royale | older | $14.99 | 337 58% | 10k | $152k (exactly $151,549) | Space Boat Studios |
 | Stowaway | · EA older | $4.99 | 428 74% | 13k | $64k (exactly $64,072) | Sandstorm Studios Inc. |
 | Hydrofoil Generation | older | $19.99 | 103 84% | 3.1k | $62k (exactly $61,769) | Jaxx Vane Studio |
 | Sail | · EA older | $14.99 | 128 72% | 3.8k | $58k (exactly $57,562) | Red Team Interactive Inc., Continuum XR |
 | Boat Together | $4.99 | 364 76% | 11k | $54k (exactly $54,491) | Beaked Games | |
 | The Pirate: Republic of Nassau | $19.99 | 25 68% | 750 | $15k (exactly $14,992) | Home Net Games | |
 | The Isle of Cats | $14.99 | 31 83% | 930 | $14k (exactly $13,941) | Dire Wolf | |
 | Rum N' Gold Royale | $4.99 | 34 97% | 1.0k | $5.1k (exactly $5,090) | PrimalDev Games | |
 | Ship of the line | · EA | $7.99 | 9 88% | 270 | $2.2k (exactly $2,157) | YDS |
 | Archipelago: Island Survival | $9.99 | 4 25% | 120 | $1.2k (exactly $1,199) | FrostFire | |
 | Old Salt | $14.99 | 2 50% | 60 | $899 (exactly $899) | Kneeshaw Developments, Never Board Games | |
 | Hullbreaker | · EA | $6.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $419 (exactly $419) | Dalton |
 | Line of Fire - Pirate Waltz | · EA | $4.99 | 2 50% | 60 | $299 (exactly $299) | Ige Olwen |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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