Do I ship it?

Games › Tactical RPG › Tactical RPG + Psychological

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Psychological Tactical RPG?

Tactical RPG + Psychological

Only 17 developers shipped a Psychological Tactical RPG in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, VARLET, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 18 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $900, ×1.4 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $210k, ×347 the market median. Revenue is down 70% on the market; 18 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.4 times the market baseline, revenue down 70% on the market, 18 announced, ×1.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Tactical RPG + Psychological
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 17
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $539 → $6.9k → $298 (still earning) → $6.7k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Tactical RPG + Psychological: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 17
Bottom 30% $298 (exactly $298)
Median $899 (exactly $899)
Top 25% $6.7k (exactly $6,742)
Top 5% $218k (exactly $217,764)
Developers, 2 yr 17
Released games 25
Announced 18
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 70% on the market, supply 85% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Tactical RPG
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Psychological
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Tactical RPG; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry RPG, Strategy, Turn-Based Tactics
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $29.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Story Rich, 3D, Emotional
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 73% positive over 476 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $900, 1 in 4 over $6.7k, 1 in 20 over $210k.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. 7 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 18 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Tactical RPG with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Roguelike DeckbuilderFair24 devs · median $9.0k · 29 announced
  2. + Mystery DungeonFair30 devs · median $2.4k · 24 announced
  3. + Space SimFair9 devs · median $1.8k · 15 announced
  4. + Point & ClickFair21 devs · median $839 · 26 announced
  5. + 2D PlatformerFair58 devs · median $599 · 49 announced
  6. + Asynchronous MultiplayerPoor odds10 devs · median $63k · 16 announced
  7. + Colony SimPoor odds16 devs · median $41k · 29 announced
  8. + SandboxPoor odds42 devs · median $20k · 102 announced
  9. + Turn-BasedPoor odds61 devs · median $18k · 81 announced
  10. + RobotsPoor odds15 devs · median $17k · 27 announced
  11. + RomancePoor odds23 devs · median $10k · 38 announced
  12. + WarPoor odds80 devs · median $8.7k · 143 announced

All 145 pairs on the Tactical RPG page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Digimon Survive 2022 · $5.6M VARLET 2025 · $218k The Stone of Madness 2025 · $179k diffiCULT 2026 · EA · $7.8k Paracom 2025 · $6.9k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Digimon Survive older $59.99 3,124 78% 94k $5.6M (exactly $5,622,263) HYDE, Inc.
VARLET $59.99 121 47% 3.6k $218k (exactly $217,764) FURYU CORPORATION
The Stone of Madness $29.99 199 77% 6.0k $179k (exactly $179,040) The Game Kitchen
diffiCULT · EA $4.99 52 94% 1.6k $7.8k (exactly $7,784) Ouz Games
Paracom $10.99 21 90% 630 $6.9k (exactly $6,924) Steel Widow Klan
Graphite $8.99 25 100% 750 $6.7k (exactly $6,742) RipRed
Day Zero · EA $4.99 39 79% 1.2k $5.8k (exactly $5,838) Imdie Studios
DREAM TIME older $7.99 23 100% 690 $5.5k (exactly $5,513) AI mainland Game studio
Beguile $4.99 10 100% 300 $1.5k (exactly $1,497) coeda
Reincarnated as a Noble - RPG older $5.99 8 50% 240 $1.4k (exactly $1,438) S Xavier Uy
GoodGod $9.99 4 75% 120 $1.2k (exactly $1,199) Malte Lehmann
Metaneurosis $14.99 2 100% 60 $899 (exactly $899) Lazy Dev Studio
Another World Adventures $5.99 3 33% 90 $539 (exactly $539) S Xavier Uy

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.