Do I ship it?

GamesStealthStealth + Psychological

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Psychological Stealth game?

Stealth + Psychological

Of 99 developers who shipped a Psychological Stealth game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 190 more are announced, ×3.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.2k, ×1.9 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $270; 1 in 20 cleared $110k, ×183 the market median. Revenue is down 55% on the market; 190 games are announced against 62 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.9 times the market baseline, revenue down 55% on the market, 190 announced, ×3.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Stealth + Psychological
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 99
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.4k → $1.5k → $2.2k → $1.6k → $5.1k → $1.2k → $1.7k (still earning) → $270 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Stealth + Psychological: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 99
Bottom 30% $270 (exactly $270)
Median $1.2k (exactly $1,199)
Top 25% $7.6k (exactly $7,554)
Top 5% $115k (exactly $115,162)
Developers, 2 yr 99
Released games 247
Announced 190
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 55% on the market, supply 60% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Stealth
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Psychological
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Stealth; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Action, Simulation
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $12.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, First-Person, Atmospheric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $12.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 80% positive over 2,829 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $270, median $1.2k, 1 in 4 over $7.5k, 1 in 20 over $110k.

3 in 10 developers made under $270. 8 in 10 of the 48 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 190 games are announced against 62 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Stealth with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + JRPGFair7 devs · median $1.3k · 12 announced
  2. + World War IIPoor odds11 devs · median $43k · 14 announced
  3. + LGBTQ+Poor odds19 devs · median $30k · 30 announced
  4. + Turn-Based CombatPoor odds8 devs · median $27k · 31 announced
  5. + WargamePoor odds10 devs · median $21k · 39 announced
  6. + DinosaursPoor odds10 devs · median $17k · 23 announced
  7. + Gun CustomizationPoor odds20 devs · median $13k · 63 announced
  8. + Base BuildingPoor odds21 devs · median $13k · 57 announced
  9. + Cold WarPoor odds7 devs · median $10k · 31 announced
  10. + HistoricalPoor odds32 devs · median $9.6k · 76 announced
  11. + MilitaryPoor odds43 devs · median $8.5k · 122 announced
  12. + WarPoor odds30 devs · median $7.6k · 89 announced

All 159 pairs on the Stealth page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
This War of Mine older $19.99 81,804 93% 2.5M $49M (exactly $49,057,859) 11 bit studios
INDIKA older $24.99 7,034 89% 211k $5.3M (exactly $5,273,390) Odd Meter
GET EVEN older $29.99 923 76% 28k $830k (exactly $830,423) The Farm 51
Those Who Remain older $19.99 604 69% 18k $362k (exactly $362,219) Camel 101
It Steals older $4.99 2,144 98% 64k $321k (exactly $320,957) Zeekerss
Supernatural older $8.99 1,180 63% 35k $318k (exactly $318,246) Hitori De Productions
Haunt Chaser older $14.99 570 67% 17k $256k (exactly $256,329) Clock Wizard Games
MADiSON VR older $34.99 207 76% 6.2k $217k (exactly $217,288) BLOODIOUS GAMES
iBLiS older $9.99 687 41% 21k $206k (exactly $205,894) Bulut ULU
It Has My Face $9.99 608 88% 18k $182k (exactly $182,218) NightByte Games
The Stone of Madness $29.99 199 77% 6.0k $179k (exactly $179,040) The Game Kitchen
A.A.U. Black Site · EA $14.99 385 80% 12k $173k (exactly $173,134) Raspberry Studio
晨昏线 $9.99 427 76% 13k $128k (exactly $127,972) Enter Games
BrokenLore: DON'T WATCH $8.99 427 81% 13k $115k (exactly $115,162) Serafini Productions
İblis3:Phenomena $12.99 252 56% 7.6k $98k (exactly $98,204) Bulut ULU
BrokenLore: DON’T LIE $15.99 74 86% 2.2k $35k (exactly $35,498) Serafini Productions
Paragnosia $3.99 228 92% 6.8k $27k (exactly $27,292) Sine Coda
Building 0: Hakuei University $9.99 90 82% 2.7k $27k (exactly $26,973) NoiceKit
Paragnosia: Museum $5.99 139 87% 4.2k $25k (exactly $24,978) Sine Coda

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.