Do I ship it?

Games › Stealth › Stealth + Procedural Generation

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Procedural Generation Stealth game?

Stealth + Procedural Generation

Of 74 developers who shipped a Procedural Generation Stealth game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 179 more are announced, ×3.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $3.4k, ×5.4 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $450; 1 in 20 cleared $1.4M, ×2299 the market median. Revenue is down 40% on the market; 179 games are announced against 49 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 5.4 times the market baseline, revenue down 40% on the market, 179 announced, ×3.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Stealth + Procedural Generation
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 74
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $3.6k → $2.5k → $4.5k → $1.0k → $9.7k → $898 → $3.1k (still earning) → $4.8k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Stealth + Procedural Generation: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 74
Bottom 30% $449 (exactly $449)
Median $3.4k (exactly $3,418)
Top 25% $33k (exactly $32,733)
Top 5% $1.4M (exactly $1,443,836)
Developers, 2 yr 74
Released games 179
Announced 179
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 40% on the market, supply 95% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Stealth
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Procedural Generation
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Stealth, Procedural Generation; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Online Co-Op, Co-op
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $13.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with First-Person, Atmospheric, Funny
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $13.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 95% positive over 380,025 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $450, median $3.4k, 1 in 4 over $32k, 1 in 20 over $1.4M.

3 in 10 developers made under $450. 7 in 10 of the 26 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 179 games are announced against 49 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.7 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Stealth with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + JRPGFair7 devs · median $1.3k · 12 announced
  2. + World War IIPoor odds11 devs · median $43k · 14 announced
  3. + LGBTQ+Poor odds19 devs · median $30k · 30 announced
  4. + Turn-Based CombatPoor odds8 devs · median $27k · 31 announced
  5. + WargamePoor odds10 devs · median $21k · 39 announced
  6. + DinosaursPoor odds10 devs · median $17k · 23 announced
  7. + Gun CustomizationPoor odds20 devs · median $13k · 63 announced
  8. + Base BuildingPoor odds21 devs · median $13k · 57 announced
  9. + Cold WarPoor odds7 devs · median $10k · 31 announced
  10. + HistoricalPoor odds32 devs · median $9.6k · 76 announced
  11. + MilitaryPoor odds43 devs · median $8.5k · 122 announced
  12. + WarPoor odds30 devs · median $7.6k · 89 announced

All 159 pairs on the Stealth page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

R.E.P.O. 2025 · EA · $102M We Happy Few 2018 · $20M Shadows of Doubt 2024 · $11M Streets of Rogue 2019 · $10M Void Bastards 2019 · $3.5M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
R.E.P.O. · EA $9.99 341,004 96% 10M $102M (exactly $102,198,899) semiwork
We Happy Few older $59.99 11,204 76% 336k $20M (exactly $20,163,839) Compulsion Games
Shadows of Doubt $24.99 14,646 82% 439k $11M (exactly $10,980,106) ColePowered Games
Streets of Rogue older $19.99 17,215 96% 516k $10M (exactly $10,323,836) Matt Dabrowski
Void Bastards older $29.99 3,888 86% 117k $3.5M (exactly $3,498,034) Blue Manchu
Baldi's Basics Plus · EA older $9.99 10,895 97% 327k $3.3M (exactly $3,265,232) Basically Games
Heat Signature older $14.99 6,849 94% 205k $3.1M (exactly $3,079,995) Suspicious Developments
Invisible, Inc. older $19.99 5,096 91% 153k $3.1M (exactly $3,056,071) Klei Entertainment
YAPYAP $9.99 8,385 83% 252k $2.5M (exactly $2,512,984) Maison Bap
The Blackout Club older $29.99 2,187 78% 66k $2.0M (exactly $1,967,644) Question
Survivalist: Invisible Strain $11.99 4,014 87% 120k $1.4M (exactly $1,443,836) Bob
Burglin' Gnomes $9.99 4,635 83% 139k $1.4M (exactly $1,389,110) Fobri
Dark Hours $9.99 3,481 81% 104k $1.0M (exactly $1,043,256) Piece of Cake studios
GERONIMO · EA $19.99 1,267 81% 38k $760k (exactly $759,820) Dark Matter Studios
Mama's Sleeping Angels $9.99 1,040 93% 31k $312k (exactly $311,688) itamu
Paranormal Cleanup $9.99 961 88% 29k $288k (exactly $288,012) Manic Mice
Backrooms Lost Runners · EA $13.99 592 75% 18k $248k (exactly $248,462) ShimStudioGames

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.