Do I ship it?

GamesStealthStealth + Precision Platformer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Precision Platformer Stealth game?

Stealth + Precision Platformer

Only 11 developers shipped a Precision Platformer Stealth game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Azooma Escape, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 14 more are announced, ×2.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $180 in the last 2 years and $450 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 6 / 10 build. 6 developers shipped in the last year and 14 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.3 times the market baseline, revenue up 10% on the market, 14 announced, ×2.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Stealth + Precision Platformer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 11
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.7k → $449 → $299
Outcomes for Stealth + Precision Platformer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 11
Bottom 30% $179 (exactly $179)
Median $180 (exactly $180)
Top 25% $300 (exactly $300)
Top 5% $35k (exactly $34,627)
Developers, 2 yr 11
Released games 46
Announced 14
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 10% on the market, supply 20% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Stealth
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Precision Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Stealth, Precision Platformer
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 9 games average 91% positive over 96 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $180, median $180, 1 in 4 over $300, 1 in 20 over $34k.

3 in 10 developers made under $180. All of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 14 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Stealth with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + JRPGFair7 devs · median $1.3k · 12 announced
  2. + World War IIPoor odds11 devs · median $43k · 14 announced
  3. + LGBTQ+Poor odds19 devs · median $30k · 30 announced
  4. + Turn-Based CombatPoor odds8 devs · median $27k · 31 announced
  5. + WargamePoor odds10 devs · median $21k · 39 announced
  6. + DinosaursPoor odds10 devs · median $17k · 23 announced
  7. + Gun CustomizationPoor odds20 devs · median $13k · 63 announced
  8. + Base BuildingPoor odds21 devs · median $13k · 57 announced
  9. + Cold WarPoor odds7 devs · median $10k · 31 announced
  10. + HistoricalPoor odds32 devs · median $9.6k · 76 announced
  11. + MilitaryPoor odds43 devs · median $8.5k · 122 announced
  12. + WarPoor odds30 devs · median $7.6k · 89 announced

All 159 pairs on the Stealth page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Tchia older $29.99 571 89% 17k $514k (exactly $513,729) Awaceb
Master Spy older $9.99 278 77% 8.3k $83k (exactly $83,317) TURBOGUN
Brush Burial older $6.99 276 87% 8.3k $58k (exactly $57,877) Knife Demon Software
Azooma Escape $14.99 77 89% 2.3k $35k (exactly $34,627) Ash Games Studio
Vox Populi Vox Dei 2 older $2.99 246 82% 7.4k $22k (exactly $22,066) Great Cogs
Super Clown: Lost Diamonds older $4.99 56 82% 1.7k $8.4k (exactly $8,383) Tero Lunkka, Valkeala Software, Blackth… (Tero Lunkka, Valkeala Software, Blackthug, NTStudios)
FLATLAND Vol.1 older $4.99 41 90% 1.2k $6.1k (exactly $6,138) kyuu Fujisaki, Minimol Games
Pale Night older $11.99 15 100% 450 $5.4k (exactly $5,396) Pretty French Games
Be a Pirate older $9.99 18 77% 540 $5.4k (exactly $5,395) Amfich
Flatland Vol.2 older $4.99 32 100% 960 $4.8k (exactly $4,790) kyuu Fujisaki
Filtration $19.99 7 100% 210 $4.2k (exactly $4,198) Whirligig Studios
Escape 2049 $9.99 1 100% 30 $300 (exactly $300) OrionSoft
Only for Gamers $4.99 2 100% 60 $299 (exactly $299) Merhaba Yazılım
Fragile Packages: Handle with Care $4.99 2 100% 60 $299 (exactly $299) Jon Warner Studios
Homeshift $5.99 1 100% 30 $180 (exactly $180) Harjutales
NEKRO3 · EA $2.99 2 100% 60 $179 (exactly $179) CHVDR
Sqube Escape $1.99 3 100% 90 $179 (exactly $179) RH POSITIVE
Detective Pig $0.99 1 100% 30 $30 (exactly $30) Young Man
Clim Snail $1.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) nuk

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.