Do I ship it?

GamesPvPPvP + Precision Platformer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a PvP Precision Platformer?

PvP + Precision Platformer

Of 67 developers who shipped a PvP Precision Platformer in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 81 more are announced, ×2.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 8 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $540, ×0.4 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $240. 81 games are announced against 39 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.1 per shipper, while revenue is up 10% on the market.

Deciding numbers: median 0.4 times the market baseline, revenue up 10% on the market, 81 announced, ×2.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
PvP + Precision Platformer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 67
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.6k → $1.4k → $3.1k → $1.8k → $898 → $599 → $748 (still earning) → $359 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for PvP + Precision Platformer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 67
Bottom 30% $239 (exactly $239)
Median $539 (exactly $539)
Top 25% $1.8k (exactly $1,799)
Top 5% $49k (exactly $48,957)
Developers, 2 yr 67
Released games 208
Announced 81
Effort 8 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 10% on the market, supply 40% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 25%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

PvP
effort 8 / 10 · low · authoritative servers, latency compensation, cheating
Precision Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
8 / 10 · online systems, open world
Systems
PvP, Precision Platformer; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Platformer, 2D Platformer
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Funny, 2D, Colorful
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 86% positive over 3,330 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $240, median $540, 1 in 4 over $1.7k, 1 in 20 over $48k.

3 in 10 developers made under $240. 9 in 10 of the 38 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 81 games are announced against 39 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

PvP with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + BaseballFair6 devs · median $7.6k · 9 announced
  2. + TransportationFair10 devs · median $5.7k · 11 announced
  3. + BasketballFair25 devs · median $2.6k · 28 announced
  4. + Football (American)Fair17 devs · median $1.8k · 12 announced
  5. + BikesFair10 devs · median $1.5k · 7 announced
  6. + GolfFair29 devs · median $1.4k · 34 announced
  7. + World War IFair12 devs · median $1.3k · 14 announced
  8. + IncrementalFair36 devs · median $1.2k · 48 announced
  9. + BilliardsFair18 devs · median $1.1k · 12 announced
  10. + TennisLong shot17 devs · median $899 · 15 announced
  11. + TypingLong shot28 devs · median $719 · 31 announced
  12. + SpellingLong shot14 devs · median $719 · 17 announced

All 247 pairs on the PvP page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Ultimate Chicken Horse older $14.99 41,060 95% 1.2M $18M (exactly $18,464,682) Clever Endeavour Games
Hot Lava older $19.99 5,335 92% 160k $3.2M (exactly $3,199,399) Klei Entertainment
JUMP KING QUEST $14.99 1,202 88% 36k $541k (exactly $540,539) Nexile
Level Devil $6.99 1,304 91% 39k $273k (exactly $273,449) Unept
Golfie older $17.99 275 66% 8.3k $148k (exactly $148,418) Triheart Studio
Rocket Boots Mania $14.99 229 99% 6.9k $103k (exactly $102,981) Luma Play
Vectronom older $9.99 263 96% 7.9k $79k (exactly $78,821) Ludopium, ARTE France
No More Rainbows older $19.99 120 90% 3.6k $72k (exactly $71,964) Squido Studio, Robot Teddy
Flat Heroes older $9.99 231 94% 6.9k $69k (exactly $69,231) Parallel Circles
Aeon Drive older $14.99 136 76% 4.1k $61k (exactly $61,159) 2Awesome Studio
4Wheel Challenge $3.99 409 57% 12k $49k (exactly $48,957) LJ3D STUDIOS
Let's Cook Together 2 $23.99 37 75% 1.1k $27k (exactly $26,629) Yellow Dot
Free For Fall $7.99 44 81% 1.3k $11k (exactly $10,547) Baboon Digital, Hamuno
Galactic Thunderdome $9.99 35 100% 1.1k $10k (exactly $10,490) Pansimula
Slam and Roll $7.99 39 100% 1.2k $9.3k (exactly $9,348) KaleidoGames
Swiftrace Canyon $11.99 18 100% 540 $6.5k (exactly $6,475) Optimotter
Knuckle Jet $14.99 13 92% 390 $5.8k (exactly $5,846) Rain Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.