Games › Physics › Physics + Turn-Based
Should I ship a Physics Turn-Based game?
Physics + Turn-Based
Only 11 developers shipped a Physics Turn-Based game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Omelet You Cook, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 20 more are announced, ×2.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $4.6k, ×7.3 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.8k; 1 in 20 cleared $680k, ×1091 the market median. Revenue is down 65% on the market; 20 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $1.8k (exactly $1,798) |
|---|---|
| Median | $4.6k (exactly $4,585) |
| Top 25% | $26k (exactly $25,539) |
| Top 5% | $685k (exactly $684,893) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 11 |
| Released games | 42 |
| Announced | 20 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 65% on the market, supply 75% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Physics
- effort 5 / 10 · low · emergent simulation bugs need hands-on tuning
- Turn-Based
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- Physics, Turn-Based
- Price point
- $9.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 10 games average 95% positive over 1,797 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $1.8k. All of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 20 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.9 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Physics with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Roguelike DeckbuilderStrong odds
- + Dating SimFair
- + PinballFair
- + World War IIFair
- + Mini GolfFair
- + GolfFair
- + CollectathonFair
- + IdlerFair
- + Hidden ObjectFair
- + CatsFair
- + Mystery DungeonFair
- + BilliardsFair
Comparable games
Peglin 2024 · $10M 
ShellShock Live 2020 · $8.8M 
Worms Armageddon 2013 · $3.5M 
Worms Revolution 2012 · $2.5M 
Mars Horizon 2020 · $1.7M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Peglin | older | $19.99 | 16,626 83% | 499k | $10M (exactly $9,970,612) | Red Nexus Games Inc. |
| | ShellShock Live | older | $9.99 | 29,340 93% | 880k | $8.8M (exactly $8,793,198) | kChamp Games |
| | Worms Armageddon | older | $14.99 | 7,851 94% | 236k | $3.5M (exactly $3,530,595) | Team17 Digital Ltd |
| | Worms Revolution | older | $14.99 | 5,664 86% | 170k | $2.5M (exactly $2,547,101) | Team17 Digital Ltd |
| | Mars Horizon | older | $19.99 | 2,757 84% | 83k | $1.7M (exactly $1,653,373) | Auroch Digital |
 | Omelet You Cook | $14.99 | 1,523 97% | 46k | $685k (exactly $684,893) | Dan Schumacher, Hjalte Tagmose | |
 | Roundguard | older | $19.99 | 449 80% | 13k | $269k (exactly $269,265) | Wonderbelly Games |
 | Fated Kingdom | older | $9.99 | 260 73% | 7.8k | $78k (exactly $77,922) | GameLiberty |
 | SiNKR | older | $3.99 | 534 93% | 16k | $64k (exactly $63,920) | Robert Wahler |
 | Drink More Glurp | older | $9.99 | 194 89% | 5.8k | $58k (exactly $58,142) | CATASTROPHIC_OVERLOAD |
 | ploink | $12.99 | 91 96% | 2.7k | $35k (exactly $35,463) | Pyrocreep | |
 | Arrogue | · EA | $11.99 | 71 71% | 2.1k | $26k (exactly $25,539) | PIPAPOU |
 | Infest | $14.99 | 24 75% | 720 | $11k (exactly $10,793) | Chute Apps | |
 | Ringer | $9.99 | 27 81% | 810 | $8.1k (exactly $8,092) | Ideas Per Second | |
 | Midnight Billiards | $8.99 | 17 94% | 510 | $4.6k (exactly $4,585) | Hade Games | |
 | Pro Stone Curling | $3.99 | 18 100% | 540 | $2.2k (exactly $2,155) | SqwiiEGC | |
 | Ball, Fall, Dungeon Crawl | · EA | $9.99 | 6 100% | 180 | $1.8k (exactly $1,798) | Moonroof Studios |
 | Pool | · EA | $5.99 | 6 33% | 180 | $1.1k (exactly $1,078) | Hard Shark Games |
 | Crazy Pocket | $1.00 | 14 92% | 420 | $420 (exactly $420) | OFFMOON Inc. |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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