Do I ship it?

GamesPhysicsPhysics + Time Travel

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Time-Travel Physics game?

Physics + Time Travel

Only 14 developers shipped a Time-Travel Physics game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Wanderer: The Fragments of Fate, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 27 more are announced, ×4.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.4k, ×3.8 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $450; 1 in 20 cleared $220k, ×356 the market median. Revenue is up 795% on the market; 27 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.8 times the market baseline, revenue up 795% on the market, 27 announced, ×4.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Physics + Time Travel
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 14
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $839 → $2.1k → $3.0k → $180 → $2.6k → $3.7k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Physics + Time Travel: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 14
Bottom 30% $449 (exactly $449)
Median $2.4k (exactly $2,399)
Top 25% $3.7k (exactly $3,748)
Top 5% $223k (exactly $223,455)
Developers, 2 yr 14
Released games 36
Announced 27
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 795% on the market, supply 35% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 6%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Physics
effort 5 / 10 · low · emergent simulation bugs need hands-on tuning
Time Travel
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Physics; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Exploration, Action, Action-Adventure
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $49.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Realistic
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $49.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 82% positive over 926 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $450, median $2.4k, 1 in 4 over $3.7k, 1 in 20 over $220k.

3 in 10 developers made under $450. 9 in 10 of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 27 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Physics with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Roguelike DeckbuilderStrong odds31 devs · median $8.1k · 30 announced
  2. + Dating SimFair28 devs · median $5.9k · 20 announced
  3. + PinballFair62 devs · median $2.5k · 80 announced
  4. + World War IIFair11 devs · median $1.4k · 16 announced
  5. + Mini GolfFair40 devs · median $1.2k · 44 announced
  6. + GolfFair55 devs · median $987 · 59 announced
  7. + CollectathonFair179 devs · median $718 · 230 announced
  8. + IdlerFair142 devs · median $718 · 167 announced
  9. + Hidden ObjectFair162 devs · median $600 · 157 announced
  10. + CatsFair76 devs · median $599 · 101 announced
  11. + Mystery DungeonFair22 devs · median $539 · 20 announced
  12. + BilliardsFair36 devs · median $538 · 32 announced

All 251 pairs on the Physics page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Braid, Anniversary Edition older $19.99 1,761 92% 53k $1.1M (exactly $1,056,072) Thekla, Inc.
No Time · EA older $12.99 2,117 97% 64k $825k (exactly $824,995) Lost in Days Studio
Wanderer: The Fragments of Fate $49.99 149 62% 4.5k $223k (exactly $223,455) Mighty Eyes
Starstruck: Hands of Time older $19.99 256 92% 7.7k $154k (exactly $153,523) Createdelic, LLC
Space Accident VR $16.99 231 82% 6.9k $118k (exactly $117,741) VR-WRG
Carpet Cleaning Simulator $6.99 508 87% 15k $107k (exactly $106,528) daimaGAME
District Steel · EA older $24.99 76 93% 2.3k $57k (exactly $56,977) Barricade Studio
We Are One older $9.99 75 93% 2.3k $22k (exactly $22,478) Flat Head Studio
The Mensional older $4.99 60 91% 1.8k $9.0k (exactly $8,982) Delil Timurtaş
If Fusion Were That Easy older $14.99 9 100% 270 $4.0k (exactly $4,047) Golden Coin Games
Macht: Cosmic Engine · EA $24.99 5 80% 150 $3.7k (exactly $3,748) Kestro Games
Beta MAX $9.99 10 100% 300 $3.0k (exactly $2,997) Nexcide
CYCLIA JOURNEY $7.99 11 81% 330 $2.6k (exactly $2,637) Wonderfy Inc.
Denbora $19.99 4 100% 120 $2.4k (exactly $2,399) Bionic Ape
Oldest Golden Treasure $14.99 4 75% 120 $1.8k (exactly $1,799) Vasil4N
Chrono Weaver $24.99 1 100% 30 $750 (exactly $750) Ivory Crow Games LLC
Aeon Tempus $4.99 3 66% 90 $449 (exactly $449) Hüseyin Akkaya

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.