Do I ship it?

Games › Physics › Physics + Time Management

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Physics Time Management game?

Physics + Time Management

Of 121 developers who shipped a Physics Time Management game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 244 more are announced, ×3.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.3k, ×2.1 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $420; 1 in 20 cleared $420k, ×674 the market median. Revenue is up 60% on the market; 244 games are announced against 78 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.1 times the market baseline, revenue up 60% on the market, 244 announced, ×3.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Physics + Time Management
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 121
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $299 → $2.1k → $5.6k → $6.7k → $1.1k → $1.1k → $1.2k (still earning) → $5.3k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Physics + Time Management: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 121
Bottom 30% $418 (exactly $418)
Median $1.3k (exactly $1,348)
Top 25% $11k (exactly $10,796)
Top 5% $423k (exactly $423,388)
Developers, 2 yr 121
Released games 259
Announced 244
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 60% on the market, supply 75% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Physics
effort 5 / 10 · low · emergent simulation bugs need hands-on tuning
Time Management
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Physics, Time Management; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Management, Immersive Sim
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, First-Person, Realistic
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 93% positive over 373,945 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $420, median $1.3k, 1 in 4 over $10k, 1 in 20 over $420k.

3 in 10 developers made under $420. 8 in 10 of the 47 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 244 games are announced against 78 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Physics with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Roguelike DeckbuilderStrong odds31 devs · median $8.1k · 30 announced
  2. + Dating SimFair28 devs · median $5.9k · 20 announced
  3. + PinballFair62 devs · median $2.5k · 80 announced
  4. + World War IIFair11 devs · median $1.4k · 16 announced
  5. + Mini GolfFair40 devs · median $1.2k · 44 announced
  6. + GolfFair55 devs · median $987 · 59 announced
  7. + CollectathonFair179 devs · median $718 · 230 announced
  8. + IdlerFair142 devs · median $718 · 167 announced
  9. + Hidden ObjectFair162 devs · median $600 · 157 announced
  10. + CatsFair76 devs · median $599 · 101 announced
  11. + Mystery DungeonFair22 devs · median $539 · 20 announced
  12. + BilliardsFair36 devs · median $538 · 32 announced

All 251 pairs on the Physics page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

PEAK 2025 · $72M Farming Simulator 25 2024 · $36M Content Warning 2024 · $17M Gamble With Your Friends 2026 · $4.5M WRC 10 FIA World Rally Championship 2021 · $4.0M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
PEAK $7.99 301,964 94% 9.1M $72M (exactly $72,380,771) Team PEAK
Farming Simulator 25 $29.99 39,681 87% 1.2M $36M (exactly $35,700,996) GIANTS Software
Content Warning older $7.99 72,444 93% 2.2M $17M (exactly $17,364,827) Zorro, Wilnyl, Philip, thePetHen, Skog
Gamble With Your Friends $7.99 18,883 89% 566k $4.5M (exactly $4,526,255) TEAM GWYF
WRC 10 FIA World Rally Championship older $49.99 2,657 73% 80k $4.0M (exactly $3,984,703) KT Racing
Kebab Chefs! - Restaurant Simulator $17.99 7,019 83% 211k $3.8M (exactly $3,788,154) Biotech Gameworks
WRC 9 FIA World Rally Championship older $29.99 3,642 77% 109k $3.3M (exactly $3,276,707) KT Racing
WRC 8 FIA World Rally Championship older $29.99 2,007 74% 60k $1.8M (exactly $1,805,698) KT Racing
Recycling Center Simulator $19.99 2,594 84% 78k $1.6M (exactly $1,555,622) Balas Games
Lawn Mowing Simulator older $19.99 2,126 74% 64k $1.3M (exactly $1,274,962) Skyhook Games
Laundry Store Simulator $11.99 1,804 89% 54k $649k (exactly $648,899) Akhir Pekan Studio
Astronomics · EA $19.99 706 89% 21k $423k (exactly $423,388) Numizmatic
Underground Garage $14.99 646 63% 19k $291k (exactly $290,506) BeardedBrothers.games
Emergency Call - The Firefighting Simulation 3 · EA $24.99 370 71% 11k $277k (exactly $277,389) Crenetic GmbH Studios
Aquapark Tycoon · EA $22.99 278 89% 8.3k $192k (exactly $191,737) Boxelware

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.