Games › Physics › Physics + Tennis
Should I ship a Physics Tennis game?
Physics + Tennis
Only 17 developers shipped a Physics Tennis game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Academy Love Saga: Tennis Angels, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 14 more are announced, ×2.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $0 in the last 2 years and $360 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 5 / 10 build. 5 developers shipped in the last year and 14 games are announced.
| Bottom 30% | $0 (exactly $0) |
|---|---|
| Median | $0 (exactly $0) |
| Top 25% | $628 (exactly $628) |
| Top 5% | $44k (exactly $43,961) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 17 |
| Released games | 40 |
| Announced | 14 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $2.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 60% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 5%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- Physics, Tennis; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Sports, Simulation, Action
- Price point
- $2.99 typical · top 25% priced $18.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Stylized
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $18.99 or above; the middle game at $2.99.
The top 8 games average 90% positive over 213 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $50. All of the 13 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 14 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.8 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Physics with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Roguelike DeckbuilderStrong odds
- + Dating SimFair
- + PinballFair
- + World War IIFair
- + Mini GolfFair
- + GolfFair
- + CollectathonFair
- + IdlerFair
- + Hidden ObjectFair
- + CatsFair
- + Mystery DungeonFair
- + BilliardsFair
Comparable games
AO Tennis 2 2020 · $1.9M 
All-In-One Sports VR 2023 · $420k 
Matchpoint - Tennis Championships 2022 · $140k 
Toasterball 2023 · $97k 
Academy Love Saga: Tennis Angels 2025 · $44k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | AO Tennis 2 | older | $49.99 | 1,236 70% | 37k | $1.9M (exactly $1,853,629) | Big Ant Studios |
| | All-In-One Sports VR | older | $19.99 | 700 84% | 21k | $420k (exactly $419,790) | Appnori Inc. |
| | Matchpoint - Tennis Championships | older | $39.99 | 117 70% | 3.5k | $140k (exactly $140,365) | Torus Games |
| | Toasterball | older | $9.99 | 324 96% | 9.7k | $97k (exactly $97,103) | Les Crafteurs |
| | Academy Love Saga: Tennis Angels | $8.99 | 163 92% | 4.9k | $44k (exactly $43,961) | Tora Creatives | |
 | PPA Pickleball Tour 2025 | older | $29.99 | 18 33% | 540 | $16k (exactly $16,195) | FarSight Studios |
 | Dino Galaxy Tennis | older | $9.99 | 27 88% | 810 | $8.1k (exactly $8,092) | Vixa Games |
 | Tennis in the Face | older | $4.99 | 39 92% | 1.2k | $5.8k (exactly $5,838) | 10tons Ltd |
 | Tennis Fighters | $7.99 | 22 63% | 660 | $5.3k (exactly $5,273) | TDO Games | |
 | PyroSlam: VR Table Tennis | · EA older | $4.99 | 28 67% | 840 | $4.2k (exactly $4,192) | kChamp Games |
 | Casual Sport Series: Tennis | $5.99 | 13 92% | 390 | $2.3k (exactly $2,336) | Revulo Games | |
 | on Titan | $18.99 | 3 100% | 90 | $1.7k (exactly $1,709) | Aleksandr Akimov | |
 | Ping Pong Deluxe | $2.99 | 7 100% | 210 | $628 (exactly $628) | Tschutscha Games | |
 | Cup Shot Master | $1.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $119 (exactly $119) | Boogygames Studios | |
 | Toonie Tennis | $0.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $59 (exactly $59) | Ravi Gyani | |
 | Abrez | $0.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $30 (exactly $30) | Haruka Nitaka, S.Daas, Tony Tutty, Suss… (Haruka Nitaka, S.Daas, Tony Tutty, Sussanne Beaujeu, T.Beaujeu) | |
 | Gravity Pro | $4.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | RS dynamics | |
 | PongBreak | $1.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Q |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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