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Should I ship a Physics Tank game?
Physics + Tanks
Only 16 developers shipped a Physics Tank game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Mech Havoc, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 39 more are announced, ×3.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $750, ×1.2 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $59; 1 in 20 cleared $240k, ×388 the market median. Revenue is flat on the market; 39 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $59 (exactly $59) |
|---|---|
| Median | $748 (exactly $748) |
| Top 25% | $2.2k (exactly $2,158) |
| Top 5% | $244k (exactly $243,656) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 16 |
| Released games | 63 |
| Announced | 39 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $3.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue flat on the market, supply 200% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- Physics, Tanks
- Price point
- $3.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 10 games average 94% positive over 895 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $59. 8 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 39 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.3 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Physics with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Roguelike DeckbuilderStrong odds
- + Dating SimFair
- + PinballFair
- + World War IIFair
- + Mini GolfFair
- + GolfFair
- + CollectathonFair
- + IdlerFair
- + Hidden ObjectFair
- + CatsFair
- + Mystery DungeonFair
- + BilliardsFair
Comparable games
Battlefield™ 1 2020 · $241M 
ShellShock Live 2020 · $8.8M 
Sprocket 2021 · EA · $7.4M 
Total Tank Simulator 2020 · $4.5M 
Phantom Brigade 2023 · $4.0M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Battlefield™ 1 | older | $39.99 | 200,661 86% | 6.0M | $241M (exactly $240,733,002) | DICE |
| | ShellShock Live | older | $9.99 | 29,340 93% | 880k | $8.8M (exactly $8,793,198) | kChamp Games |
| | Sprocket | · EA older | $19.99 | 12,336 92% | 370k | $7.4M (exactly $7,397,899) | Hamish Dunn |
| | Total Tank Simulator | older | $19.99 | 7,582 81% | 227k | $4.5M (exactly $4,546,925) | Noobz from Poland |
| | Phantom Brigade | older | $29.99 | 4,412 81% | 132k | $4.0M (exactly $3,969,476) | Brace Yourself Games |
 | Arms Trade Tycoon: Tanks | · EA older | $29.99 | 1,000 65% | 30k | $900k (exactly $899,700) | FunGi |
 | Instruments of Destruction | older | $19.99 | 1,429 91% | 43k | $857k (exactly $856,971) | Radiangames |
 | Mech Havoc | · EA | $9.99 | 813 96% | 24k | $244k (exactly $243,656) | Mid Development |
 | Heroic Armored Company | · EA older | $16.99 | 185 56% | 5.6k | $94k (exactly $94,294) | Magicvalley Studio（魔法谷工作室） |
 | Aircraft Evolution | older | $8.99 | 221 80% | 6.6k | $60k (exactly $59,604) | Satur Entertainment |
 | Valor 1944 | $9.99 | 14 92% | 420 | $4.2k (exactly $4,196) | Sunroom Games | |
 | Bridge Hunter | · EA | $9.99 | 12 100% | 360 | $3.6k (exactly $3,596) | Double Light |
 | Tank Simulator | $8.99 | 8 12% | 240 | $2.2k (exactly $2,158) | Imperian Online - Praha | |
 | Cannon Clicker | $5.99 | 8 75% | 240 | $1.4k (exactly $1,438) | Ritual Interactive | |
 | Front Lines | $1.99 | 23 60% | 690 | $1.4k (exactly $1,373) | Waterfoul Studios | |
 | You All Know! Arm Tank Volley | $3.99 | 7 100% | 210 | $838 (exactly $838) | Hiroyuki | |
 | Arena Breakers | · EA | $4.99 | 5 100% | 150 | $748 (exactly $748) | RongeGames |
 | BERSERK TANK | $4.50 | 3 66% | 90 | $405 (exactly $405) | WU YU CHENG | |
 | Bang Bang Tank | $3.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $239 (exactly $239) | LiFou Games |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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