Games › Physics › Physics + Supernatural
Should I ship a Supernatural Physics game?
Physics + Supernatural
Of 42 developers who shipped a Supernatural Physics game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 89 more are announced, ×4.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $630, level with the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $240; 1 in 20 cleared $86k, ×137 the market median. Revenue is up 50% on the market; 89 games are announced against 20 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $239 (exactly $239) |
|---|---|
| Median | $629 (exactly $629) |
| Top 25% | $5.8k (exactly $5,846) |
| Top 5% | $86k (exactly $86,292) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 42 |
| Released games | 102 |
| Announced | 89 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $5.00 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 50% on the market, supply 10% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 19%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Physics
- effort 5 / 10 · low · emergent simulation bugs need hands-on tuning
- Supernatural
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- Physics; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Simulation, Adventure
- Price point
- $5.00 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
- Art
- 6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Atmospheric, 3D, Dark
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $5.00.
The top 10 games average 78% positive over 1,818 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $240. 9 in 10 of the 22 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 89 games are announced against 20 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.5 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Physics with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Roguelike DeckbuilderStrong odds
- + Dating SimFair
- + PinballFair
- + World War IIFair
- + Mini GolfFair
- + GolfFair
- + CollectathonFair
- + IdlerFair
- + Hidden ObjectFair
- + CatsFair
- + Mystery DungeonFair
- + BilliardsFair
Comparable games
The Baby In Yellow 2023 · EA · $631k 
Haunt the House: Terrortown 2014 · $329k 
Obsideo 2021 · EA · $287k 
Of Lies and Rain 2025 · $205k 
WE ARE SO DEAD 2026 · EA · $161k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | The Baby In Yellow | · EA older | $8.99 | 2,340 96% | 70k | $631k (exactly $631,098) | Team Terrible |
| | Haunt the House: Terrortown | older | $4.99 | 2,199 87% | 66k | $329k (exactly $329,190) | SFB Games |
| | Obsideo | · EA older | $11.99 | 797 61% | 24k | $287k (exactly $286,681) | Kyle's Garage |
| | Of Lies and Rain | $39.99 | 171 79% | 5.1k | $205k (exactly $205,149) | Castello Inc | |
| | WE ARE SO DEAD | · EA | $7.99 | 672 73% | 20k | $161k (exactly $161,078) | REAL PLAYERS |
 | Morkredd | older | $19.99 | 158 71% | 4.7k | $95k (exactly $94,753) | Hyper Games |
 | Japan Stigmatized Property -日本事故物件監視協会- | $7.99 | 360 74% | 11k | $86k (exactly $86,292) | 日本事故物件監視協会 | |
 | Leenie Boog | older | $4.99 | 258 80% | 7.7k | $39k (exactly $38,623) | Alexander Bazhenov |
 | Lost Luminosity | $3.99 | 235 83% | 7.1k | $28k (exactly $28,130) | Ember Wing Games | |
 | SOMNI | · EA older | $14.99 | 58 60% | 1.7k | $26k (exactly $26,083) | Antler |
 | Zardy's Cave | $7.99 | 84 80% | 2.5k | $20k (exactly $20,135) | Full Trek Media | |
 | Ascending Inferno | $10.99 | 55 98% | 1.7k | $18k (exactly $18,134) | Oppolyon Studios | |
 | 7 Nights with Vroombi | $3.99 | 126 96% | 3.8k | $15k (exactly $15,082) | Pixel Goat Games | |
 | Vindefiant | $14.99 | 31 80% | 930 | $14k (exactly $13,941) | Blakey Games | |
 | Escape from Ghosts | $12.99 | 28 71% | 840 | $11k (exactly $10,912) | Alex8778 | |
 | Thin Threads | $3.99 | 56 64% | 1.7k | $6.7k (exactly $6,703) | SolitaryStudios |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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