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Should I ship a Physics Submarine game?
Physics + Submarine
Only 12 developers shipped a Physics Submarine game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Modern Naval Warfare, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 11 more are announced, ×2.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $2.7k, ×4.3 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $960; 1 in 20 cleared $420k, ×679 the market median. Revenue is up 70% on the market; 11 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $958 (exactly $958) |
|---|---|
| Median | $2.7k (exactly $2,697) |
| Top 25% | $52k (exactly $51,782) |
| Top 5% | $427k (exactly $426,529) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 12 |
| Released games | 29 |
| Announced | 11 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $8.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 70% on the market, supply 30% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- Physics, Submarine
- Price point
- $8.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 10 games average 84% positive over 904 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $960. 9 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 11 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.2 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Physics with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Roguelike DeckbuilderStrong odds
- + Dating SimFair
- + PinballFair
- + World War IIFair
- + Mini GolfFair
- + GolfFair
- + CollectathonFair
- + IdlerFair
- + Hidden ObjectFair
- + CatsFair
- + Mystery DungeonFair
- + BilliardsFair
Comparable games
UBOAT 2024 · $23M 
Modern Naval Warfare 2026 · EA · $427k 
Behind Glass: Aquarium Simulator 2025 · $175k 
SHIPS AT WAR 2021 · EA · $166k 
Sub Command 2006 · $77k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | UBOAT | older | $29.99 | 25,568 83% | 767k | $23M (exactly $23,003,530) | Deep Water Studio |
| | Modern Naval Warfare | · EA | $59.99 | 237 58% | 7.1k | $427k (exactly $426,529) | Wave Ops |
| | Behind Glass: Aquarium Simulator | $14.99 | 390 95% | 12k | $175k (exactly $175,383) | BitBros Inc | |
| | SHIPS AT WAR | · EA older | $14.99 | 369 76% | 11k | $166k (exactly $165,939) | Golddorf Spieleentwicklung |
| | Sub Command | older | $18.99 | 136 74% | 4.1k | $77k (exactly $77,479) | Sonalysts |
 | Dieselpunk Wars | older | $14.99 | 116 55% | 3.5k | $52k (exactly $52,165) | Image Power S.A., Roasted Games |
 | ShipShaper: Falconeer Chronicles | · EA | $8.99 | 192 96% | 5.8k | $52k (exactly $51,782) | Tomas Sala |
 | subROV : Underwater Discoveries | · EA older | $19.99 | 63 90% | 1.9k | $38k (exactly $37,781) | sqr3lab |
 | 1971: Indian Naval Front | older | $14.99 | 57 68% | 1.7k | $26k (exactly $25,633) | Neosphere Interactive Studios |
 | Ports Of Call Deluxe 3D 2024 | older | $14.99 | 46 78% | 1.4k | $21k (exactly $20,686) | Dipl. Ing. Rolf-Dieter Klein |
 | The Hookmarine | $5.99 | 24 100% | 720 | $4.3k (exactly $4,313) | Elendow | |
 | Submeris | $4.99 | 19 57% | 570 | $2.8k (exactly $2,844) | OxygenStudio | |
 | Speedboat Simulator | · EA | $8.99 | 10 70% | 300 | $2.7k (exactly $2,697) | Hard Shark Games |
 | Dark of the Depths | $4.99 | 17 70% | 510 | $2.5k (exactly $2,545) | GhastlyVastly | |
 | Jet Rush | · EA | $9.99 | 5 80% | 150 | $1.5k (exactly $1,498) | Fresh Bread Games |
 | Sub Optimal Co. | $3.99 | 8 62% | 240 | $958 (exactly $958) | It's A Sidegame | |
 | The Great Ocean | $9.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $599 (exactly $599) | Actrio Studio |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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