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Should I ship a Physics Split Screen game?
Physics + Split Screen
Of 51 developers who shipped a Physics Split Screen game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 99 more are announced, ×3.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $2.4k, ×3.8 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $880k, ×1414 the market median. Revenue is up 20% on the market; 99 games are announced against 28 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $300 (exactly $300) |
|---|---|
| Median | $2.4k (exactly $2,397) |
| Top 25% | $8.6k (exactly $8,633) |
| Top 5% | $888k (exactly $887,822) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 51 |
| Released games | 175 |
| Announced | 99 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $7.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 20% on the market, supply 15% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Physics
- effort 5 / 10 · low · emergent simulation bugs need hands-on tuning
- Split Screen
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- Physics, Split Screen; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Local Multiplayer, Racing
- Price point
- $7.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
- Art
- 4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Funny, 3D, Realistic
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.
The top 10 games average 95% positive over 46,181 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $300. 8 in 10 of the 25 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 99 games are announced against 28 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.5 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Physics with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Roguelike DeckbuilderStrong odds
- + Dating SimFair
- + PinballFair
- + World War IIFair
- + Mini GolfFair
- + GolfFair
- + CollectathonFair
- + IdlerFair
- + Hidden ObjectFair
- + CatsFair
- + Mystery DungeonFair
- + BilliardsFair
Comparable games
Human Fall Flat 2016 · $105M 
Wobbly Life 2025 · $25M 
Stick Fight: The Game 2017 · $15M 
Amazing Frog? 2014 · EA · $6.7M 
RIDE 5 2023 · $5.1M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Human Fall Flat | older | $19.99 | 174,835 94% | 5.2M | $105M (exactly $104,848,549) | No Brakes Games |
| | Wobbly Life | $24.99 | 33,034 97% | 991k | $25M (exactly $24,765,590) | RubberBandGames | |
| | Stick Fight: The Game | older | $4.99 | 99,952 93% | 3.0M | $15M (exactly $14,962,814) | Landfall West |
| | Amazing Frog? | · EA older | $19.99 | 11,169 94% | 335k | $6.7M (exactly $6,698,049) | Fayju |
| | RIDE 5 | older | $49.99 | 3,368 82% | 101k | $5.1M (exactly $5,050,990) | Milestone S.r.l. |
 | Biped | older | $14.99 | 9,025 85% | 271k | $4.1M (exactly $4,058,542) | NEXT Studios |
 | Easy Delivery Co. | $12.99 | 9,538 95% | 286k | $3.7M (exactly $3,716,959) | Sam C | |
 | Bang-On Balls: Chronicles | older | $24.99 | 4,334 96% | 130k | $3.2M (exactly $3,249,200) | Exit Plan Games |
 | Circuit Superstars | older | $19.99 | 2,218 86% | 67k | $1.3M (exactly $1,330,135) | Original Fire Games |
 | Rock of Ages 2: Bigger & Boulder™ | older | $14.99 | 2,792 90% | 84k | $1.3M (exactly $1,255,562) | ACE Team |
 | MotoGP™25 | $49.99 | 592 74% | 18k | $888k (exactly $887,822) | Milestone S.r.l. | |
 | MotoGP™26 | $59.99 | 225 64% | 6.8k | $405k (exactly $404,932) | Milestone S.r.l. | |
 | Biped 2 | $14.99 | 813 71% | 24k | $366k (exactly $365,606) | META Publishing, NEXT Studios, PlayJoy… (META Publishing, NEXT Studios, PlayJoy Studios) | |
 | World of Outlaws: Dirt Racing 24 Gold Edition | $39.99 | 243 89% | 7.3k | $292k (exactly $291,527) | Monster Games, Amber | |
 | Together: Moon Escape | $9.99 | 868 90% | 26k | $260k (exactly $260,140) | CarlosGameDev | |
 | ReCharge RC: High Voltage | · EA | $13.99 | 393 95% | 12k | $165k (exactly $164,942) | Hondune Games |
 | Head's Adventures:chibichibi | $7.99 | 334 97% | 10k | $80k (exactly $80,060) | ManaWanderer | |
 | Slip & Skid | $12.99 | 141 97% | 4.2k | $55k (exactly $54,948) | NHOGS Interactive |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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