Do I ship it?

GamesPhysicsPhysics + Score Attack

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Physics Score Attack game?

Physics + Score Attack

Of 329 developers who shipped a Physics Score Attack game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 393 more are announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $360 in the last 2 years and $360 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 5 / 10 build. 211 developers shipped in the last year and 393 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.6 times the market baseline, revenue flat on the market, 393 announced, ×1.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Physics + Score Attack
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 329
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $327 → $598 → $419 → $719 → $599 → $300 → $479 (still earning) → $210 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Physics + Score Attack: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 329
Bottom 30% $90 (exactly $90)
Median $359 (exactly $359)
Top 25% $1.7k (exactly $1,678)
Top 5% $37k (exactly $37,049)
Developers, 2 yr 329
Released games 797
Announced 393
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue flat on the market, supply 75% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Physics
effort 5 / 10 · low · emergent simulation bugs need hands-on tuning
Score Attack
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Physics, Score Attack; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Arcade, Action
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $12.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Colorful, Relaxing
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $12.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 90% positive over 39,309 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $90, median $360, 1 in 4 over $1.6k, 1 in 20 over $37k.

3 in 10 developers made under $90. 9 in 10 of the 144 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 393 games are announced against 211 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Physics with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Roguelike DeckbuilderStrong odds31 devs · median $8.1k · 30 announced
  2. + Dating SimFair28 devs · median $5.9k · 20 announced
  3. + PinballFair62 devs · median $2.5k · 80 announced
  4. + World War IIFair11 devs · median $1.4k · 16 announced
  5. + Mini GolfFair40 devs · median $1.2k · 44 announced
  6. + GolfFair55 devs · median $987 · 59 announced
  7. + CollectathonFair179 devs · median $718 · 230 announced
  8. + IdlerFair142 devs · median $718 · 167 announced
  9. + Hidden ObjectFair162 devs · median $600 · 157 announced
  10. + CatsFair76 devs · median $599 · 101 announced
  11. + Mystery DungeonFair22 devs · median $539 · 20 announced
  12. + BilliardsFair36 devs · median $538 · 32 announced

All 251 pairs on the Physics page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Soulstone Survivors $14.99 25,749 91% 772k $12M (exactly $11,579,325) Game Smithing Limited
Assetto Corsa Rally · EA $29.99 8,757 87% 263k $7.9M (exactly $7,878,673) Supernova Games Studios
WRC 8 FIA World Rally Championship older $29.99 2,007 74% 60k $1.8M (exactly $1,805,698) KT Racing
Superflight older $2.99 11,047 96% 331k $991k (exactly $990,916) GrizzlyGames
Absolute Drift older $14.99 2,192 89% 66k $986k (exactly $985,742) Funselektor Labs Inc., FlippFly
Driftwood $19.99 1,197 92% 36k $718k (exactly $717,841) Stoked Sloth Interactive
Kayak VR: Mirage older $22.99 1,006 82% 30k $694k (exactly $693,838) Better Than Life
Omelet You Cook $14.99 1,523 97% 46k $685k (exactly $684,893) Dan Schumacher, Hjalte Tagmose
Cursed to Golf older $19.99 693 70% 21k $416k (exactly $415,592) Chuhai Labs
YEAH! YOU WANT "THOSE GAMES," RIGHT? SO HERE YOU GO! NOW, LET'S SEE YOU CLEAR THEM! older $9.99 1,268 71% 38k $380k (exactly $380,020) MONKEYCRAFT Co. Ltd.
Torque Drift 2 · EA $19.99 376 62% 11k $225k (exactly $225,487) Grease Monkey Games
Kinny and the Cosmic Cauldron $12.99 563 85% 17k $219k (exactly $219,401) Kinnymoms
Pih 2 $9.99 384 92% 12k $115k (exactly $115,085) BecomeANobody
VMX · EA $14.99 229 89% 6.9k $103k (exactly $102,981) Break Free Interactive
Cult of PiN $14.99 184 77% 5.5k $83k (exactly $82,745) KennyMakesGames
Pegfinity $6.99 347 76% 10k $73k (exactly $72,766) Fragment Ventures AS

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.