Do I ship it?

GamesPhysicsPhysics + Romance

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Romance Physics game?

Physics + Romance

Of 33 developers who shipped a Romance Physics game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 34 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $4.2k, ×6.7 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.2k; 1 in 20 cleared $150k, ×245 the market median. Revenue is down 65% on the market; 34 games are announced against 19 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 6.7 times the market baseline, revenue down 65% on the market, 34 announced, ×1.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Physics + Romance
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 33
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $450 → $3.3k → $6.8k → $13k → $8.4k → $14k → $1.5k (still earning) → $1.9k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Physics + Romance: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 33
Bottom 30% $1.2k (exactly $1,199)
Median $4.2k (exactly $4,198)
Top 25% $19k (exactly $19,181)
Top 5% $154k (exactly $153,710)
Developers, 2 yr 33
Released games 82
Announced 34
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 65% on the market, supply 25% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 6%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Physics
effort 5 / 10 · low · emergent simulation bugs need hands-on tuning
Romance
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Physics; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Dating Sim, Immersive Sim
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $29.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Cute, VR
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 78% positive over 1,977 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.2k, median $4.2k, 1 in 4 over $19k, 1 in 20 over $150k.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.2k. 9 in 10 of the 15 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 34 games are announced against 19 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Physics with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Roguelike DeckbuilderStrong odds31 devs · median $8.1k · 30 announced
  2. + Dating SimFair28 devs · median $5.9k · 20 announced
  3. + PinballFair62 devs · median $2.5k · 80 announced
  4. + World War IIFair11 devs · median $1.4k · 16 announced
  5. + Mini GolfFair40 devs · median $1.2k · 44 announced
  6. + GolfFair55 devs · median $987 · 59 announced
  7. + CollectathonFair179 devs · median $718 · 230 announced
  8. + IdlerFair142 devs · median $718 · 167 announced
  9. + Hidden ObjectFair162 devs · median $600 · 157 announced
  10. + CatsFair76 devs · median $599 · 101 announced
  11. + Mystery DungeonFair22 devs · median $539 · 20 announced
  12. + BilliardsFair36 devs · median $538 · 32 announced

All 251 pairs on the Physics page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
VR HOT · EA older $44.99 998 66% 30k $1.3M (exactly $1,347,001) VR HOT
Anthro Heat $29.99 629 92% 19k $566k (exactly $565,911) Blue Lizard Studios
Mirage · EA older $29.99 279 63% 8.4k $251k (exactly $251,016) MorganaVR
FUTA RUNNER: Big Dick Edition $6.99 733 66% 22k $154k (exactly $153,710) Evil Boobs Cult
Hand Simulator: Rendezvous older $2.99 1,654 87% 50k $148k (exactly $148,364) Alice Pie
Eternal Hope older $11.99 359 83% 11k $129k (exactly $129,132) Doublehit Games
Horny Housewives older $12.99 232 59% 7.0k $90k (exactly $90,410) Entropy Digital Entertainment
ComeCloser $39.99 60 68% 1.8k $72k (exactly $71,982) CCT
Shohei's Adult Streaming Channel older $12.99 158 62% 4.7k $62k (exactly $61,573) Nurarihyon
Elvenfoundry $34.99 46 67% 1.4k $48k (exactly $48,286) SunbathGames
Academy Love Saga: Tennis Angels $8.99 163 92% 4.9k $44k (exactly $43,961) Tora Creatives
Cupiclaw $9.99 115 87% 3.5k $34k (exactly $34,466) Typin
Virtual AI - KURONYAM $14.99 52 71% 1.6k $23k (exactly $23,384) Shiba Neko
VR Waifu - Ciel $9.99 77 66% 2.3k $23k (exactly $23,077) Shiba Neko
XStoryPlayer $17.99 38 86% 1.1k $21k (exactly $20,509) X-Moon Productions
Flatinside Simulator · EA $9.99 64 64% 1.9k $19k (exactly $19,181) SncI Studios

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.