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Should I ship a Physics Rhythm game?
Physics + Rhythm
Of 49 developers who shipped a Physics Rhythm game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 38 more are announced.
Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $120 in the last 2 years and $150 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 5 / 10 build. 26 developers shipped in the last year and 38 games are announced.
| Bottom 30% | $30 (exactly $30) |
|---|---|
| Median | $120 (exactly $120) |
| Top 25% | $809 (exactly $809) |
| Top 5% | $38k (exactly $37,775) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 49 |
| Released games | 139 |
| Announced | 38 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 25% on the market, supply 10% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- Physics, Rhythm; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Arcade
- Price point
- $4.99 typical · top 25% priced $10.99 or above
- Art
- 4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Colorful
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $10.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.
The top 10 games average 93% positive over 1,235 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $50. 9 in 10 of the 34 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 38 games are announced against 26 developers who shipped in the last year.
Adjacent niches
Physics with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Roguelike DeckbuilderStrong odds
- + Dating SimFair
- + PinballFair
- + World War IIFair
- + Mini GolfFair
- + GolfFair
- + CollectathonFair
- + IdlerFair
- + Hidden ObjectFair
- + CatsFair
- + Mystery DungeonFair
- + BilliardsFair
Comparable games
Zup! X 2018 · $387k 
Zup! Z 2020 · $242k 
Starstruck: Hands of Time 2024 · $154k 
Q REMASTERED 2023 · $114k 
ROGUE LIGHT DECK BUILDER 2025 · $106k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Zup! X | older | $1.99 | 6,480 96% | 194k | $387k (exactly $386,856) | Quiet River |
| | Zup! Z | older | $1.99 | 4,058 97% | 122k | $242k (exactly $242,263) | Quiet River |
| | Starstruck: Hands of Time | older | $19.99 | 256 92% | 7.7k | $154k (exactly $153,523) | Createdelic, LLC |
| | Q REMASTERED | older | $8.99 | 423 82% | 13k | $114k (exactly $114,083) | liica, Inc. |
| | ROGUE LIGHT DECK BUILDER | $3.99 | 888 94% | 27k | $106k (exactly $106,294) | Gil Lawson | |
 | Fruit Ninja VR 2 | older | $24.99 | 74 75% | 2.2k | $55k (exactly $55,478) | Halfbrick Studios Pty Ltd |
 | DESTRUCTURE: Among Debris | older | $9.99 | 158 90% | 4.7k | $47k (exactly $47,353) | Team Instant Defeat |
 | CYBERMATRIX | $12.00 | 127 89% | 3.8k | $46k (exactly $45,720) | Tim Murich | |
 | Electro Bop Boxing League | $14.99 | 84 79% | 2.5k | $38k (exactly $37,775) | Developer Dob | |
 | Rainbow Reactor | older | $14.99 | 71 94% | 2.1k | $32k (exactly $31,929) | Tunermaxx Media GmbH, Muikkumedia Oy |
 | Meowingtons Simulator | $5.99 | 48 95% | 1.4k | $8.6k (exactly $8,626) | Oberha5li Studios | |
 | Hotdangle | $17.99 | 11 100% | 330 | $5.9k (exactly $5,937) | Devorange Studio Inc | |
 | Pattaya Simulator | $8.99 | 22 90% | 660 | $5.9k (exactly $5,933) | N-nic Studio | |
 | Unpatterned Cut | $9.99 | 14 100% | 420 | $4.2k (exactly $4,196) | Vnow Games | |
 | Puzzle Dazzle | $8.99 | 14 100% | 420 | $3.8k (exactly $3,776) | Smash Game Studios | |
 | Bass Defense - Rhythm Meets Strategy | $5.99 | 17 100% | 510 | $3.1k (exactly $3,055) | WOMBEX Games | |
 | Gorilla Showdown | $6.99 | 10 100% | 300 | $2.1k (exactly $2,097) | Sloth King |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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