Do I ship it?

GamesPhysicsPhysics + Quick-Time Events

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Physics Quick-Time Events game?

Physics + Quick-Time Events

Of 47 developers who shipped a Physics Quick-Time Events game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 69 more are announced, ×2.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $180 in the last 2 years and $240 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 5 / 10 build. 31 developers shipped in the last year and 69 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.3 times the market baseline, revenue up 35% on the market, 69 announced, ×2.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Physics + Quick-Time Events
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 47
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $359 → $298 → $0 → $479 → $59 → $299 → $239 (still earning) → $240 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Physics + Quick-Time Events: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 47
Bottom 30% $90 (exactly $90)
Median $179 (exactly $179)
Top 25% $719 (exactly $719)
Top 5% $3.5k (exactly $3,525)
Developers, 2 yr 47
Released games 113
Announced 69
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $3.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 35% on the market, supply 95% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Physics
effort 5 / 10 · low · emergent simulation bugs need hands-on tuning
Quick-Time Events
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Physics, Quick-Time Events; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Simulation, Adventure
Price point
$3.99 typical · top 25% priced $10.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, First-Person, Realistic
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $10.99 or above; the middle game at $3.99.

The top 10 games average 75% positive over 124 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $90, median $180, 1 in 4 over $710, 1 in 20 over $3.5k.

3 in 10 developers made under $90. 9 in 10 of the 18 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 69 games are announced against 31 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Physics with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Roguelike DeckbuilderStrong odds31 devs · median $8.1k · 30 announced
  2. + Dating SimFair28 devs · median $5.9k · 20 announced
  3. + PinballFair62 devs · median $2.5k · 80 announced
  4. + World War IIFair11 devs · median $1.4k · 16 announced
  5. + Mini GolfFair40 devs · median $1.2k · 44 announced
  6. + GolfFair55 devs · median $987 · 59 announced
  7. + CollectathonFair179 devs · median $718 · 230 announced
  8. + IdlerFair142 devs · median $718 · 167 announced
  9. + Hidden ObjectFair162 devs · median $600 · 157 announced
  10. + CatsFair76 devs · median $599 · 101 announced
  11. + Mystery DungeonFair22 devs · median $539 · 20 announced
  12. + BilliardsFair36 devs · median $538 · 32 announced

All 251 pairs on the Physics page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
STAR WARS™ - The Force Unleashed™ Ultimate Sith Edition older $19.99 8,732 77% 262k $5.2M (exactly $5,236,580) LucasArts
Bad Rats: the Rats' Revenge older $1.99 7,062 77% 212k $422k (exactly $421,601) Invent4 Entertainment
Rocket Assault: Downhill Rush older $7.99 209 92% 6.3k $50k (exactly $50,097) Giovanni Elgert
Whitewater VR: Extreme Kayaking Adventure older $19.99 82 81% 2.5k $49k (exactly $49,175) Adam Horvath
Treasure Chest Clicker older $3.99 408 82% 12k $49k (exactly $48,838) Simon Eftestol
Ultra Foodmess older $3.99 105 93% 3.2k $13k (exactly $12,568) Riftpoint Entertainment
The Mensional older $4.99 60 91% 1.8k $9.0k (exactly $8,982) Delil Timurtaş
Rayland older $2.99 86 91% 2.6k $7.7k (exactly $7,714) Naoka Games
Pattaya Simulator $8.99 22 90% 660 $5.9k (exactly $5,933) N-nic Studio
Okay, Panic! older $9.99 18 38% 540 $5.4k (exactly $5,395) Outer Harbour
Hydro $8.99 16 100% 480 $4.3k (exactly $4,315) Harman Motor Works
Mimetic - Prop hunt hide and seek $4.70 25 80% 750 $3.5k (exactly $3,525) ClockNotionStudio
Amber Alert TOTAL VR $5.99 19 47% 570 $3.4k (exactly $3,414) MEATBREAD, VirtualVillain
Rage Room: Catharsis $16.99 6 33% 180 $3.1k (exactly $3,058) Revino Games
Medieval Tavern Simulator · EA $10.99 6 83% 180 $2.0k (exactly $1,978) Superwolf Game Studio
Strong Crab $5.99 11 81% 330 $2.0k (exactly $1,977) Kayla.Z
Car Guys $5.99 9 33% 270 $1.6k (exactly $1,617) Ruben Alcañiz
Another Day As President $6.99 6 83% 180 $1.3k (exactly $1,258) 1610
Surfing Legends $8.99 4 100% 120 $1.1k (exactly $1,079) TALOF Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.