Do I ship it?

Games › Physics › Physics + Precision Platformer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Physics Precision Platformer?

Physics + Precision Platformer

Of 489 developers who shipped a Physics Precision Platformer in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 448 more are announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $360 in the last 2 years and $450 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 5 / 10 build. 263 developers shipped in the last year and 448 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.6 times the market baseline, revenue up 10% on the market, 448 announced, ×1.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Physics + Precision Platformer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 489
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $449 → $898 → $478 → $537 → $598 → $299 → $358 (still earning) → $179 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Physics + Precision Platformer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 489
Bottom 30% $119 (exactly $119)
Median $359 (exactly $359)
Top 25% $1.8k (exactly $1,796)
Top 5% $25k (exactly $24,551)
Developers, 2 yr 489
Released games 1,171
Announced 448
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 10% on the market, supply 15% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Physics
effort 5 / 10 · low · emergent simulation bugs need hands-on tuning
Precision Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Physics, Precision Platformer; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Platformer, Action, Adventure
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Difficult, Funny, 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 84% positive over 4,503 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $120, median $360, 1 in 4 over $1.7k, 1 in 20 over $24k.

3 in 10 developers made under $120. Nearly all of the 259 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 448 games are announced against 263 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Physics with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Roguelike DeckbuilderStrong odds31 devs · median $8.1k · 30 announced
  2. + Dating SimFair28 devs · median $5.9k · 20 announced
  3. + PinballFair62 devs · median $2.5k · 80 announced
  4. + World War IIFair11 devs · median $1.4k · 16 announced
  5. + Mini GolfFair40 devs · median $1.2k · 44 announced
  6. + GolfFair55 devs · median $987 · 59 announced
  7. + CollectathonFair179 devs · median $718 · 230 announced
  8. + IdlerFair142 devs · median $718 · 167 announced
  9. + Hidden ObjectFair162 devs · median $600 · 157 announced
  10. + CatsFair76 devs · median $599 · 101 announced
  11. + Mystery DungeonFair22 devs · median $539 · 20 announced
  12. + BilliardsFair36 devs · median $538 · 32 announced

All 251 pairs on the Physics page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Heavenly Bodies 2021 · $2.2M I Am Fish 2021 · $1.7M A Difficult Game About Climbing 2024 · $1.6M N++ (NPLUSPLUS) 2016 · $1.3M Thomas Was Alone 2012 · $1.2M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Heavenly Bodies older $19.99 3,741 95% 112k $2.2M (exactly $2,243,478) 2pt Interactive
I Am Fish older $19.99 2,917 75% 88k $1.7M (exactly $1,749,325) Bossa Studios
A Difficult Game About Climbing older $9.99 5,399 87% 162k $1.6M (exactly $1,618,080) Pontypants
N++ (NPLUSPLUS) older $14.99 2,825 95% 85k $1.3M (exactly $1,270,402) Metanet Software Inc.
Thomas Was Alone older $9.99 4,144 92% 124k $1.2M (exactly $1,241,957) Bithell Games
Climber Animals: Together older $3.99 6,014 73% 180k $720k (exactly $719,876) Devotion Interactive
Tchia older $29.99 571 89% 17k $514k (exactly $513,729) Awaceb
Egging On $14.99 747 74% 22k $336k (exactly $335,926) Egobounds
BETON BRUTAL older $6.99 1,232 94% 37k $258k (exactly $258,350) Jan Malitschek
JellyCar Worlds older $7.99 1,008 96% 30k $242k (exactly $241,618) Walaber Entertainment LLC
Paddle Paddle Paddle $4.99 1,584 86% 48k $237k (exactly $237,125) Zoroarts
BAIONLENJA · EA $12.99 510 97% 15k $199k (exactly $198,747) BAION
Space Accident VR $16.99 231 82% 6.9k $118k (exactly $117,741) VR-WRG
Brave Escape $19.99 145 97% 4.4k $87k (exactly $86,956) Hit Start Studios
Head's Adventures:chibichibi $7.99 334 97% 10k $80k (exactly $80,060) ManaWanderer
Curiosity: A Cat Climbing Game $9.99 220 96% 6.6k $66k (exactly $65,934) DarkBear Studios, iNightGaming LLC
Stuck Together $11.99 161 88% 4.8k $58k (exactly $57,912) Hugecalf Studios
4Wheel Challenge $3.99 409 57% 12k $49k (exactly $48,957) LJ3D STUDIOS
Sensory Overload $9.99 162 93% 4.9k $49k (exactly $48,551) Pancake Studios

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.