Do I ship it?

GamesPhysicsPhysics + Point & Click

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Physics Point & Click game?

Physics + Point & Click

Of 124 developers who shipped a Physics Point & Click game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 99 more are announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $420 in the last 2 years and $300 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 5 / 10 build. 67 developers shipped in the last year and 99 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.7 times the market baseline, revenue down 15% on the market, 99 announced, ×1.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Physics + Point & Click
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 124
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $449 → $119 → $179 → $1.4k → $359 → $598 → $89 (still earning) → $479 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Physics + Point & Click: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 124
Bottom 30% $30 (exactly $30)
Median $418 (exactly $418)
Top 25% $2.3k (exactly $2,336)
Top 5% $74k (exactly $73,828)
Developers, 2 yr 124
Released games 334
Announced 99
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $3.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 15% on the market, supply 15% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Physics
effort 5 / 10 · low · emergent simulation bugs need hands-on tuning
Point & Click
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Physics, Point & Click; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Puzzle, Simulation
Price point
$3.99 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Relaxing, 2D, Colorful
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $3.99.

The top 10 games average 91% positive over 9,810 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $420, 1 in 4 over $2.3k, 1 in 20 over $73k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 9 in 10 of the 68 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 99 games are announced against 67 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Physics with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Roguelike DeckbuilderStrong odds31 devs · median $8.1k · 30 announced
  2. + Dating SimFair28 devs · median $5.9k · 20 announced
  3. + PinballFair62 devs · median $2.5k · 80 announced
  4. + World War IIFair11 devs · median $1.4k · 16 announced
  5. + Mini GolfFair40 devs · median $1.2k · 44 announced
  6. + GolfFair55 devs · median $987 · 59 announced
  7. + CollectathonFair179 devs · median $718 · 230 announced
  8. + IdlerFair142 devs · median $718 · 167 announced
  9. + Hidden ObjectFair162 devs · median $600 · 157 announced
  10. + CatsFair76 devs · median $599 · 101 announced
  11. + Mystery DungeonFair22 devs · median $539 · 20 announced
  12. + BilliardsFair36 devs · median $538 · 32 announced

All 251 pairs on the Physics page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Birth older $10.99 4,003 95% 120k $1.3M (exactly $1,319,789) Madison Karrh
Leaf it Alone $5.99 6,244 95% 187k $1.1M (exactly $1,122,047) Eternity
Wordle older $30.62 1,147 80% 34k $1.1M (exactly $1,053,634) PreoNus Games
Wordle 3 older $30.62 610 78% 18k $560k (exactly $560,346) PreoNus Games
Zup! older $1.99 8,307 94% 249k $496k (exactly $495,928) Quiet River
Zup! F older $1.99 7,749 96% 232k $463k (exactly $462,615) Quiet River
Noun Town Language Learning $19.99 708 84% 21k $425k (exactly $424,588) SUPER HYPER MEGA
Zup! 2 older $1.99 6,490 95% 195k $387k (exactly $387,453) Quiet River
Zup! X older $1.99 6,480 96% 194k $387k (exactly $386,856) Quiet River
Wordle 2 older $30.62 394 61% 12k $362k (exactly $361,928) PreoNus Games
Machinika: Atlas $11.99 574 76% 17k $206k (exactly $206,468) Littlefield Studio
Carpet Cleaning Simulator $6.99 508 87% 15k $107k (exactly $106,528) daimaGAME
Smash Hit Museum $6.99 507 85% 15k $106k (exactly $106,318) InIt Games
Japan Stigmatized Property -日本事故物件監視協会- $7.99 360 74% 11k $86k (exactly $86,292) 日本事故物件監視協会
Little Chef: Cozy Cooking $7.99 308 95% 9.2k $74k (exactly $73,828) Julien Truebiger, Erika Zakse, Danny va… (Julien Truebiger, Erika Zakse, Danny van Duist)
UMAMI $13.99 153 98% 4.6k $64k (exactly $64,214) Mimmox
Jeffrey Eggstein · EA $4.99 290 94% 8.7k $43k (exactly $43,413) Grabba Guild Games LLC
PancitoMerge $7.99 158 99% 4.7k $38k (exactly $37,873) Fáyer, Sketchy Ceviche

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.