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Should I ship a Physics Point & Click game?
Physics + Point & Click
Of 124 developers who shipped a Physics Point & Click game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 99 more are announced.
Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $420 in the last 2 years and $300 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 5 / 10 build. 67 developers shipped in the last year and 99 games are announced.
| Bottom 30% | $30 (exactly $30) |
|---|---|
| Median | $418 (exactly $418) |
| Top 25% | $2.3k (exactly $2,336) |
| Top 5% | $74k (exactly $73,828) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 124 |
| Released games | 334 |
| Announced | 99 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $3.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 15% on the market, supply 15% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Physics
- effort 5 / 10 · low · emergent simulation bugs need hands-on tuning
- Point & Click
- effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- Physics, Point & Click; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Puzzle, Simulation
- Price point
- $3.99 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
- Art
- 4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Relaxing, 2D, Colorful
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $3.99.
The top 10 games average 91% positive over 9,810 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $50. 9 in 10 of the 68 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 99 games are announced against 67 developers who shipped in the last year.
Adjacent niches
Physics with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Roguelike DeckbuilderStrong odds
- + Dating SimFair
- + PinballFair
- + World War IIFair
- + Mini GolfFair
- + GolfFair
- + CollectathonFair
- + IdlerFair
- + Hidden ObjectFair
- + CatsFair
- + Mystery DungeonFair
- + BilliardsFair
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Birth | older | $10.99 | 4,003 95% | 120k | $1.3M (exactly $1,319,789) | Madison Karrh |
| | Leaf it Alone | $5.99 | 6,244 95% | 187k | $1.1M (exactly $1,122,047) | Eternity | |
| | Wordle | older | $30.62 | 1,147 80% | 34k | $1.1M (exactly $1,053,634) | PreoNus Games |
| | Wordle 3 | older | $30.62 | 610 78% | 18k | $560k (exactly $560,346) | PreoNus Games |
| | Zup! | older | $1.99 | 8,307 94% | 249k | $496k (exactly $495,928) | Quiet River |
| | Zup! F | older | $1.99 | 7,749 96% | 232k | $463k (exactly $462,615) | Quiet River |
| | Noun Town Language Learning | $19.99 | 708 84% | 21k | $425k (exactly $424,588) | SUPER HYPER MEGA | |
| | Zup! 2 | older | $1.99 | 6,490 95% | 195k | $387k (exactly $387,453) | Quiet River |
| | Zup! X | older | $1.99 | 6,480 96% | 194k | $387k (exactly $386,856) | Quiet River |
| | Wordle 2 | older | $30.62 | 394 61% | 12k | $362k (exactly $361,928) | PreoNus Games |
| | Machinika: Atlas | $11.99 | 574 76% | 17k | $206k (exactly $206,468) | Littlefield Studio | |
| | Carpet Cleaning Simulator | $6.99 | 508 87% | 15k | $107k (exactly $106,528) | daimaGAME | |
| | Smash Hit Museum | $6.99 | 507 85% | 15k | $106k (exactly $106,318) | InIt Games | |
| | Japan Stigmatized Property -日本事故物件監視協会- | $7.99 | 360 74% | 11k | $86k (exactly $86,292) | 日本事故物件監視協会 | |
| | Little Chef: Cozy Cooking | $7.99 | 308 95% | 9.2k | $74k (exactly $73,828) | Julien Truebiger, Erika Zakse, Danny va… (Julien Truebiger, Erika Zakse, Danny van Duist) | |
| | UMAMI | $13.99 | 153 98% | 4.6k | $64k (exactly $64,214) | Mimmox | |
| | Jeffrey Eggstein | · EA | $4.99 | 290 94% | 8.7k | $43k (exactly $43,413) | Grabba Guild Games LLC |
| | PancitoMerge | $7.99 | 158 99% | 4.7k | $38k (exactly $37,873) | Fáyer, Sketchy Ceviche |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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