Do I ship it?

GamesStealthStealth + Party Game

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Party Game Stealth game?

Stealth + Party Game

Of 47 developers who shipped a Party Game Stealth game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 142 more are announced, ×3.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $420, ×0.7 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $180. 142 games are announced against 41 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.5 per shipper, while revenue is down 95% on the market.

Deciding numbers: median 0.7 times the market baseline, revenue down 95% on the market, 142 announced, ×3.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Stealth + Party Game
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 47
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $7.2k → $2.2k → $300 → $2.5k → $1.4k (still earning) → $210 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Stealth + Party Game: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 47
Bottom 30% $180 (exactly $180)
Median $419 (exactly $419)
Top 25% $4.8k (exactly $4,823)
Top 5% $110k (exactly $109,783)
Developers, 2 yr 47
Released games 82
Announced 142
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.50

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 95% on the market, supply 585% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Stealth
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Party Game
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Stealth, Party Game; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Co-op, PvP
Price point
$6.50 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
Art
7 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Comedy, Funny
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $6.50.

The top 10 games average 87% positive over 80,707 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $180, median $420, 1 in 4 over $4.8k, 1 in 20 over $100k.

3 in 10 developers made under $180. 7 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 142 games are announced against 41 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Stealth with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + JRPGFair7 devs · median $1.3k · 12 announced
  2. + World War IIPoor odds11 devs · median $43k · 14 announced
  3. + LGBTQ+Poor odds19 devs · median $30k · 30 announced
  4. + Turn-Based CombatPoor odds8 devs · median $27k · 31 announced
  5. + WargamePoor odds10 devs · median $21k · 39 announced
  6. + DinosaursPoor odds10 devs · median $17k · 23 announced
  7. + Gun CustomizationPoor odds20 devs · median $13k · 63 announced
  8. + Base BuildingPoor odds21 devs · median $13k · 57 announced
  9. + Cold WarPoor odds7 devs · median $10k · 31 announced
  10. + HistoricalPoor odds32 devs · median $9.6k · 76 announced
  11. + MilitaryPoor odds43 devs · median $8.5k · 122 announced
  12. + WarPoor odds30 devs · median $7.6k · 89 announced

All 159 pairs on the Stealth page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
MECCHA CHAMELEON $5.99 78,746 87% 2.4M $14M (exactly $14,150,656) lemorion_1224
SpyParty · EA older $24.99 1,140 77% 34k $855k (exactly $854,658) Chris Hecker, John Cimino
West Hunt older $9.99 1,522 84% 46k $456k (exactly $456,143) NewGen
Unspottable older $9.99 694 89% 21k $208k (exactly $207,992) GrosChevaux
KILLER INN · EA $9.99 670 44% 20k $201k (exactly $200,799) Square Enix, Tactic Studios
Hidden in Plain Sight older $5.99 922 99% 28k $166k (exactly $165,683) Adam Spragg
Panoptic older $16.99 281 96% 8.4k $143k (exactly $143,226) Team Panoptes
Airport Security Sucks! $7.99 458 85% 14k $110k (exactly $109,783) JakeHub, Metater
The Matriarch older $4.99 724 75% 22k $108k (exactly $108,383) Chewa
Midnight Murder Club $9.99 304 71% 9.1k $91k (exactly $91,109) Velan Studios
Escape From Mandrillia: Local Asymmetric VR+PC $12.99 181 95% 5.4k $71k (exactly $70,536) German Bandera
Moo Who? $6.99 174 66% 5.2k $36k (exactly $36,488) SAT Productions
OCTOPinbs $9.99 45 68% 1.4k $13k (exactly $13,486) tri-Ace, Lasengle Inc.
Werewolf Party $7.99 56 89% 1.7k $13k (exactly $13,423) Absam Studios
Paws Coven $6.99 43 67% 1.3k $9.0k (exactly $9,017) Wintercrow Games
School Crisis $6.99 30 93% 900 $6.3k (exactly $6,291) Phumi Dev

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.