Do I ship it?

GamesPvPPvP + Parkour

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a PvP Parkour game?

PvP + Parkour

Of 84 developers who shipped a PvP Parkour game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 182 more are announced, ×3.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 8 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $750, ×0.5 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $240. 182 games are announced against 48 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.8 per shipper, while revenue is up 65% on the market.

Deciding numbers: median 0.5 times the market baseline, revenue up 65% on the market, 182 announced, ×3.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
PvP + Parkour
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 84
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.6k → $4.0k → $11k → $1.2k → $898 → $748 → $748 (still earning) → $240 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for PvP + Parkour: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 84
Bottom 30% $239 (exactly $239)
Median $748 (exactly $748)
Top 25% $4.3k (exactly $4,341)
Top 5% $85k (exactly $84,854)
Developers, 2 yr 84
Released games 280
Announced 182
Effort 8 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 65% on the market, supply 35% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 35%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

PvP
effort 8 / 10 · low · authoritative servers, latency compensation, cheating
Parkour
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
8 / 10 · online systems, open world
Systems
PvP, Parkour; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Physics, Platformer
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Funny, 3D, Colorful
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 76% positive over 5,422 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $240, median $750, 1 in 4 over $4.3k, 1 in 20 over $84k.

3 in 10 developers made under $240. 8 in 10 of the 56 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 182 games are announced against 48 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

PvP with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + BaseballFair6 devs · median $7.6k · 9 announced
  2. + TransportationFair10 devs · median $5.7k · 11 announced
  3. + BasketballFair25 devs · median $2.6k · 28 announced
  4. + Football (American)Fair17 devs · median $1.8k · 12 announced
  5. + BikesFair10 devs · median $1.5k · 7 announced
  6. + GolfFair29 devs · median $1.4k · 34 announced
  7. + World War IFair12 devs · median $1.3k · 14 announced
  8. + IncrementalFair36 devs · median $1.2k · 48 announced
  9. + BilliardsFair18 devs · median $1.1k · 12 announced
  10. + TennisLong shot17 devs · median $899 · 15 announced
  11. + TypingLong shot28 devs · median $719 · 31 announced
  12. + SpellingLong shot14 devs · median $719 · 17 announced

All 247 pairs on the PvP page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Dying Light older $24.99 373,413 95% 11M $280M (exactly $279,947,726) Techland
Titanfall® 2 older $29.99 255,050 95% 7.7M $229M (exactly $229,468,485) Respawn Entertainment
DEATHLOOP older $59.99 19,910 76% 597k $36M (exactly $35,832,027) Arkane Studios
Gorilla Tag older $19.99 52,637 93% 1.6M $32M (exactly $31,566,409) Another Axiom Inc.
Ultimate Chicken Horse older $14.99 41,060 95% 1.2M $18M (exactly $18,464,682) Clever Endeavour Games
Hot Lava older $19.99 5,335 92% 160k $3.2M (exactly $3,199,399) Klei Entertainment
SpiderHeck older $14.99 3,922 93% 118k $1.8M (exactly $1,763,723) Neverjam
Last Train Outta' Wormtown $11.99 1,453 96% 44k $523k (exactly $522,644) Get(Color) Games
Sprint Vector older $29.99 576 83% 17k $518k (exactly $518,227) Survios
EMPULSE · EA $9.99 1,701 60% 51k $510k (exactly $509,790) 1047 Games
SpeedRunners 2: King of Speed $9.99 447 55% 13k $134k (exactly $133,966) Fair Play Labs
Rocket Boots Mania $14.99 229 99% 6.9k $103k (exactly $102,981) Luma Play
Beetleball $7.99 354 93% 11k $85k (exactly $84,854) Bugfight Studio
Knock'Em Out $7.99 239 85% 7.2k $57k (exactly $57,288) BBear Studio
Slip & Skid $12.99 141 97% 4.2k $55k (exactly $54,948) NHOGS Interactive
Boat Together $4.99 364 76% 11k $54k (exactly $54,491) Beaked Games
4Wheel Challenge $3.99 409 57% 12k $49k (exactly $48,957) LJ3D STUDIOS
Oblin Party $7.99 85 91% 2.6k $20k (exactly $20,374) Tellus Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.