Games › Open World Survival Craft › Open World Survival Craft + Third-Person Shooter
Should I ship a Third-Person Shooter Open World Survival Craft?
Open World Survival Craft + Third-Person Shooter
Only 11 developers shipped a Third-Person Shooter Open World Survival Craft in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Palworld, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 26 more are announced, ×6.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 9 / 10 build.
Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $120k against a market of $1.3k. 26 games are announced.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $69k (exactly $68,609) |
|---|---|
| Median | $125k (exactly $124,871) |
| Top 25% | $1.4M (exactly $1,369,715) |
| Top 5% | $371M (exactly $370,628,716) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 11 |
| Released games | 38 |
| Announced | 26 |
| Effort | 9 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $14.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 70% on the market, supply 45% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 16%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Open World Survival Craft
- effort 9 / 10 · low · dedicated multiplayer servers over a huge content build
- Third-Person Shooter
- effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
What it takes
- Effort
- 9 / 10 · studio only
- Systems
- Open World Survival Craft, Third-Person Shooter
- Price point
- $14.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 10 games average 92% positive over 453,283 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $69k. 3 in 10 of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 26 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×6.5 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Open World Survival Craft with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + AutomationFair
- + Co-opPoor odds
- + Online Co-OpPoor odds
- + Immersive SimPoor odds
- + PhysicsPoor odds
- + Colony SimPoor odds
- + MedievalPoor odds
- + ShooterPoor odds
- + PvPPoor odds
- + Sci-fiPoor odds
- + Character CustomizationPoor odds
- + RPGPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Palworld | $29.99 | 411,947 94% | 12M | $371M (exactly $370,628,716) | Pocketpair | |
| | Days Gone | older | $39.99 | 82,655 92% | 2.5M | $99M (exactly $99,161,204) | Bend Studio |
| | Deadside | $24.99 | 34,560 76% | 1.0M | $26M (exactly $25,909,632) | Bad Pixel | |
| | SurrounDead | · EA older | $11.99 | 24,538 91% | 736k | $8.8M (exactly $8,826,319) | Zurvivor |
| | DeadPoly | · EA older | $9.99 | 5,384 78% | 162k | $1.6M (exactly $1,613,585) | TFL Games |
| | IfSunSets | · EA | $19.99 | 2,284 74% | 69k | $1.4M (exactly $1,369,715) | POLYMORPH |
| | DUCKSIDE | · EA | $14.99 | 2,692 72% | 81k | $1.2M (exactly $1,210,592) | tinyBuild Riga |
| | Plains of Pain | · EA older | $19.99 | 956 82% | 29k | $573k (exactly $573,313) | Cobra Byte Digital |
| | Bad 2 Bad: Apocalypse | $19.99 | 905 77% | 27k | $543k (exactly $542,728) | DAWINSTONE | |
| | How To Survive: Third Person Standalone | older | $9.99 | 1,134 56% | 34k | $340k (exactly $339,860) | Eko Software |
| | Afterinfection | $8.99 | 463 56% | 14k | $125k (exactly $124,871) | RePatrick21 | |
| | Not Quite Dead: Open World Survival | · EA | $12.99 | 218 61% | 6.5k | $85k (exactly $84,955) | Voidecho Studio |
| | Western Rye | · EA | $21.99 | 104 53% | 3.1k | $69k (exactly $68,609) | Nixalon Studios |
| | World Crafter TD | $14.99 | 70 48% | 2.1k | $31k (exactly $31,479) | Tbjbu2 | |
| | Shatterland | $7.99 | 40 62% | 1.2k | $9.6k (exactly $9,588) | LastPulse Studio |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
Your address goes to Buttondown, which sends the letter, and nowhere else. Every issue has an unsubscribe link. No tracking beyond the open count Buttondown keeps.