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Should I ship a Space Sim Open World Survival Craft?
Open World Survival Craft + Space Sim
Only 8 developers shipped a Space Sim Open World Survival Craft in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Astrometica, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 19 more are announced, ×4.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 9 / 10 build.
Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $50k against a market of $1.3k. 19 games are announced.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $4.8k (exactly $4,795) |
|---|---|
| Median | $50k (exactly $50,460) |
| Top 25% | $515k (exactly $515,307) |
| Top 5% | $1.7M (exactly $1,746,326) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 8 |
| Released games | 28 |
| Announced | 19 |
| Effort | 9 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $16.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 70% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.
Free games: 4%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Open World Survival Craft
- effort 9 / 10 · low · dedicated multiplayer servers over a huge content build
- Space Sim
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 9 / 10 · studio only
- Systems
- Open World Survival Craft, Space Sim
- Price point
- $16.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $34.99 or above; the middle game at $19.99.
The top 10 games average 82% positive over 357,755 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $4.8k. 19 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.8 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Open World Survival Craft with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + AutomationFair
- + Co-opPoor odds
- + Online Co-OpPoor odds
- + Immersive SimPoor odds
- + PhysicsPoor odds
- + Colony SimPoor odds
- + MedievalPoor odds
- + ShooterPoor odds
- + PvPPoor odds
- + Sci-fiPoor odds
- + Character CustomizationPoor odds
- + RPGPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | No Man's Sky | older | $59.99 | 315,054 83% | 9.5M | $567M (exactly $567,002,684) | Hello Games |
| | Empyrion - Galactic Survival | older | $19.99 | 29,204 78% | 876k | $18M (exactly $17,513,639) | Eleon Game Studios |
| | Starbase | · EA older | $34.99 | 6,217 56% | 187k | $6.5M (exactly $6,525,985) | Frozenbyte |
| | Astrometica | · EA | $19.99 | 2,912 82% | 87k | $1.7M (exactly $1,746,326) | BeryMery |
| | Starpoint Gemini 3 | older | $29.99 | 759 49% | 23k | $683k (exactly $682,872) | Little Green Men Games |
| | Stars End | older | $19.99 | 1,129 63% | 34k | $677k (exactly $677,061) | Reverie World Studios |
| | Blossom: The Seed of Life | $16.99 | 1,011 88% | 30k | $515k (exactly $515,307) | Pebbledust Games | |
| | QANGA | · EA older | $19.99 | 554 70% | 17k | $332k (exactly $332,234) | iolaCorp Studio |
| | Space Trash Scavenger | $19.99 | 512 82% | 15k | $307k (exactly $307,046) | SquarePlay Games | |
| | Star Shelter | older | $19.99 | 403 78% | 12k | $242k (exactly $241,679) | Overflow |
| | Utopia Colony | $16.99 | 99 63% | 3.0k | $50k (exactly $50,460) | GridSky Studios | |
| | Triton Survival | $14.99 | 27 70% | 810 | $12k (exactly $12,142) | Family Devs | |
| | No Ticket Back: Craft, Survive & Escape | $9.99 | 16 87% | 480 | $4.8k (exactly $4,795) | GameEraStudios | |
| | Wreckborn | $6.99 | 22 95% | 660 | $4.6k (exactly $4,613) | Krystian Dobaczewski | |
| | Stellar Archipelago | $12.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Gogodinosaur |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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