Do I ship it?

GamesOffroadOffroad + Split Screen

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Split Screen Offroad game?

Offroad + Split Screen

Only 6 developers shipped a Split Screen Offroad game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Old School Rally, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 3 more are announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 7 / 10 build.

Only 2 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $160k against a market of $1.5k. 3 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 110.1 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 3 announced, ×1.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Offroad + Split Screen
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 6

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Offroad + Split Screen: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 6
Bottom 30% $10k (exactly $10,190)
Median $165k (exactly $164,942)
Top 25% $292k (exactly $291,527)
Top 5% $835k (exactly $834,737)
Developers, 2 yr 6
Released games 31
Announced 3
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $12.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 50% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 6%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Offroad
effort 7 / 10 · low · terrain and suspension physics
Split Screen
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Offroad, Split Screen
Price point
$12.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $14.99.

The top 10 games average 86% positive over 61,044 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $11k, median $160k, 1 in 4 over $290k, 1 in 20 over $830k.

3 in 10 developers made under $11k. 3 games are announced against 2 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Offroad with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + 3D PlatformerLong shot14 devs · median $478 · 12 announced
  2. + Character CustomizationPoor odds11 devs · median $69k · 27 announced
  3. + Immersive SimPoor odds14 devs · median $19k · 32 announced
  4. + PvPPoor odds13 devs · median $4.3k · 19 announced
  5. + PhysicsPoor odds50 devs · median $2.7k · 71 announced
  6. + ExplorationPoor odds42 devs · median $2.7k · 70 announced
  7. + SportsPoor odds25 devs · median $2.5k · 28 announced
  8. + TransportationPoor odds10 devs · median $2.3k · 26 announced
  9. + Automobile SimPoor odds50 devs · median $1.7k · 74 announced
  10. + SimulationPoor odds57 devs · median $1.3k · 83 announced
  11. + Open WorldPoor odds22 devs · median $1.3k · 50 announced
  12. + NaturePoor odds20 devs · median $1.1k · 34 announced

All 28 pairs on the Offroad page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
DiRT Rally 2.0 older $19.99 39,091 89% 1.2M $23M (exactly $23,442,873) Codemasters
WRC 7 FIA World Rally Championship older $19.99 12,146 82% 364k $7.3M (exactly $7,283,956) KT Racing
MX vs. ATV Reflex older $19.99 2,904 88% 87k $1.7M (exactly $1,741,529) Rainbow Studios, THQ Nordic
MX vs ATV All Out older $39.99 1,332 81% 40k $1.6M (exactly $1,598,000) Rainbow Studios
Old School Rally $12.99 2,142 89% 64k $835k (exactly $834,737) Frozen Lake Games
Dakar 18 older $29.99 828 69% 25k $745k (exactly $744,952) Bigmoon Entertainment
V-Rally 4 older $29.99 712 72% 21k $641k (exactly $640,586) KT Racing
WRC 6 FIA World Rally Championship older $14.99 1,284 73% 39k $577k (exactly $577,415) KT Racing
BAJA: Edge of Control HD older $29.99 392 82% 12k $353k (exactly $352,682) 2XL Games, Blitworks
Monster Jam™ Showdown older $49.99 213 71% 6.4k $319k (exactly $319,436) Milestone S.r.l.
World of Outlaws: Dirt Racing 24 Gold Edition $39.99 243 89% 7.3k $292k (exactly $291,527) Monster Games, Amber
ReCharge RC: High Voltage · EA $13.99 393 95% 12k $165k (exactly $164,942) Hondune Games
BeaterCore $9.99 322 82% 9.7k $97k (exactly $96,503) Artem Arbatsky
Chaos on Wheels $9.99 34 67% 1.0k $10k (exactly $10,190) Acodeon Development
Urban Shadows Racing™ Tokyo $4.99 17 64% 510 $2.5k (exactly $2,545) TechRoar, TechRoarLex

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.