Games › Offroad › Offroad + Sports
Should I ship a Sports Offroad game?
Offroad + Sports
Of 25 developers who shipped a Sports Offroad game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 28 more are announced, ×3.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $2.5k, ×1.7 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $900; 1 in 20 cleared $3.9M, ×2626 the market median. Revenue is down 40% on the market; 28 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $899 (exactly $899) |
|---|---|
| Median | $2.5k (exactly $2,545) |
| Top 25% | $165k (exactly $164,942) |
| Top 5% | $3.9M (exactly $3,933,488) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 25 |
| Released games | 135 |
| Announced | 28 |
| Effort | 7 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 40% on the market, supply 45% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 7%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
- Systems
- Offroad, Sports; all of the top 25% also carry Driving, Physics, Racing
- Price point
- $9.99 typical · top 25% priced $34.99 or above
- Art
- 6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Realistic, Third Person
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $34.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 84% positive over 11,730 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $900. 6 in 10 of the 19 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 28 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.1 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Offroad with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + 3D PlatformerLong shot
- + Character CustomizationPoor odds
- + Immersive SimPoor odds
- + PvPPoor odds
- + PhysicsPoor odds
- + ExplorationPoor odds
- + TransportationPoor odds
- + Automobile SimPoor odds
- + SimulationPoor odds
- + Open WorldPoor odds
- + NaturePoor odds
- + SandboxPoor odds
Comparable games
Need for Speed™ Payback 2020 · $25M 
DiRT Rally 2.0 2019 · $23M 
EA SPORTS™ WRC 2023 · $16M 
WRC 7 FIA World Rally Championship 2017 · $7.3M 
DIRT 5 2020 · $6.4M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Need for Speed™ Payback | older | $29.99 | 27,424 85% | 823k | $25M (exactly $24,673,373) | Ghost Games |
| | DiRT Rally 2.0 | older | $19.99 | 39,091 89% | 1.2M | $23M (exactly $23,442,873) | Codemasters |
| | EA SPORTS™ WRC | older | $49.99 | 10,532 61% | 316k | $16M (exactly $15,794,840) | Codemasters |
| | WRC 7 FIA World Rally Championship | older | $19.99 | 12,146 82% | 364k | $7.3M (exactly $7,283,956) | KT Racing |
| | DIRT 5 | older | $59.99 | 3,530 59% | 106k | $6.4M (exactly $6,352,941) | Codemasters |
 | JDM: Japanese Drift Master | $34.99 | 5,217 75% | 157k | $5.5M (exactly $5,476,285) | Gaming Factory | |
 | MX vs ATV Legends | older | $39.99 | 4,524 82% | 136k | $5.4M (exactly $5,427,443) | Rainbow Studios |
 | art of rally | older | $24.99 | 5,580 92% | 167k | $4.2M (exactly $4,183,326) | Funselektor Labs Inc. |
 | WRC 10 FIA World Rally Championship | older | $49.99 | 2,657 73% | 80k | $4.0M (exactly $3,984,703) | KT Racing |
 | Sledders | $29.99 | 4,372 95% | 131k | $3.9M (exactly $3,933,488) | Hanki Games | |
 | #DRIVE Rally | $19.99 | 743 79% | 22k | $446k (exactly $445,577) | Pixel Perfect Dude | |
 | World of Outlaws: Dirt Racing 24 Gold Edition | $39.99 | 243 89% | 7.3k | $292k (exactly $291,527) | Monster Games, Amber | |
 | Exo Rally Championship | $24.99 | 374 90% | 11k | $280k (exactly $280,388) | Exbleative | |
 | Recharge: Room Games | · EA | $19.99 | 313 67% | 9.4k | $188k (exactly $187,706) | Room Games |
 | ReCharge RC: High Voltage | · EA | $13.99 | 393 95% | 12k | $165k (exactly $164,942) | Hondune Games |
 | Hot Wheels Monster Trucks: Stunt Mayhem™ | $39.99 | 19 63% | 570 | $23k (exactly $22,794) | 3DClouds | |
 | N3Rally | · EA | $19.99 | 37 89% | 1.1k | $22k (exactly $22,189) | nae3apps |
 | Short Oval Simulator | · EA | $17.99 | 19 94% | 570 | $10k (exactly $10,254) | Dangerous Derk Interactive |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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